NATO Official: Russia Lacks Resources for Major Offensive in Ukraine
ICARO Media Group
In a recent statement, a NATO official revealed that Russia is facing significant losses in Ukraine and does not have the necessary troops and weapons to launch a major offensive. The official, who requested anonymity, made these comments to reporters ahead of the NATO summit.
According to the official, Russia is currently experiencing "very high" casualty rates, and it would require additional supplies and fresh troops to carry out any extensive operations. The official highlighted that Russia would need to secure significant ammunition supplies from other countries, in addition to what it already receives from Iran and North Korea, to sustain a sustained offensive.
The official further estimated that Moscow is currently capable of covertly mobilizing around 30,000 troops per month to replenish its losses. However, he noted that this pace would allow Russia to maintain its war economy for only three to four more years. Despite these limitations, the official stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin believes time is on his side and is willing to endure "truly staggering numbers of military casualties."
Regarding Ukraine's capabilities, the official acknowledged that the country has suffered significant troop losses. While it may take some time for Kyiv to gather enough personnel for a major counteroffensive, the official mentioned that Ukrainian defenses have significantly improved and continue to strengthen.
Meanwhile, Ukraine and Poland recently signed a security cooperation agreement, including a commitment to consider the use of Polish air defenses to intercept Russian missiles in Ukrainian airspace. This follows Russia's surprise offensive on Ukraine's Kharkiv region in May, which resulted in territorial gains. However, Ukrainian forces have managed to contain the operation in recent weeks.
As the NATO summit commenced on Tuesday, the United States announced its intention to provide additional air defense measures for Kyiv. Although Ukraine is unlikely to receive an invitation to join NATO, it may be offered increased security guarantees and a potential path to membership in the future.
With Russia's limited resources and Ukraine's strengthened defenses, the dynamics in the region continue to evolve. As international alliances strategize and discuss next steps, the situation remains fragile, and the potential for further escalations looms.