Lions Primed for Dominance Despite Pass Blocking Concerns as They Face Bears

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ICARO Media Group
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27/11/2024 22h27

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The Detroit Lions are gearing up for a pivotal game against the Chicago Bears, and while their offensive line has a solid reputation, their pass blocking statistics tell a different story. Ranked 16th in pressure rate at 34.4%, the Lions have managed to allow just 22 sacks this season, placing them seventh in the league. Quarterback Jared Goff has been handling the pressure remarkably well, ranking seventh in EPA per dropback (-0.21) and second in passer rating (99.4) under pressure. This will be crucial, especially with Dan Skipper expected to replace Taylor Decker at tackle. Skipper has struggled, holding the team’s worst pass-blocking grade of 44.1 and allowing five pressures in only 50 snaps this season.

The Bears' pass defense, usually their strong suit, has faltered in recent weeks. In matchups against Jordan Love and Sam Darnold, they allowed a combined 68.6% completion rate, 591 yards, three touchdowns, and a 119.0 passer rating. However, the Bears' pass rush has not been formidable, with only defensive tackle Andrew Billings grading above 70 in PFF pass rush metrics. Jaylon Johnson remains a key player but might see the Lions opt for other targets given Tyrique Stevenson’s struggles.

In terms of the run game, the Lions have been exceptional. They've rushed for at least 100 yards and a touchdown in every game this season, with a rushing success rate of 45.8%. Their offensive line ranks second in run block PFF grade (76.8) and first in adjusted line yards (5.14). The dynamic duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery have been pivotal, with Montgomery ranking third in broken tackles forced (18) and ninth in yards after contact per rush (2.4).

The Bears, contrastingly, have been subpar against the run, allowing over 100 yards in eight of their 11 games. They rank 28th in yards per carry (4.8) and 27th in adjusted line yards (4.89), suggesting they could be significantly challenged in the trenches.

On the passing front, the Lions have been stellar, ranking top-five in various defensive categories, although injuries to key players like Carlton Davis could present challenges. The Bears’ recent improvement in their passing attack, particularly with quicker throws under different offensive coordination, shows promise but also highlights vulnerabilities.

As the Lions prepare for this crucial matchup, the overall numbers paint a promising picture despite some injury and performance concerns. Given the Lions' strong run game and solid defense, they appear to have a distinct advantage over the Bears. Predictions lean towards a decisive Lions victory, potentially scoring 34 points to the Bears' 17, emphasizing Detroit’s overall stronger form and strategy heading into this encounter.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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