In a recent interview with The Economist, Vadym Skibytsky, the deputy chief of Ukraine's military intelligence service (HUR), shared his insights on the escalating threats posed by Russia. Skibytsky divulged concerning information about Russia's plans for a major offensive in Donbas, potential losses for Ukraine, and Moscow's ambitions towards the Baltic states. Here are the key points from Skibytsky's statements:

1. Loss of Chasiv Yar is Inevitable: Skibytsky warned that the town of Chasiv Yar, a crucial strategic location in the Donetsk region, will eventually fall into Russian hands. He explained that Russia aims to achieve its "complete liberation" of Donetsk and Luhansk regions by May 9, or before President Putin's visit to China. Skibytsky emphasized that the timeline for the loss of Chasiv Yar depends on Ukraine's reserves and supplies.

2. Russia's Three-Pronged Destabilization Plan: Skibytsky outlined Russia's strategy to undermine Ukraine through different spheres. Firstly, Russia intends to limit Ukraine's capabilities by countering the delivery of US military aid, which may take weeks to reach frontline positions. Secondly, through disinformation campaigns, Russia seeks to undermine President Zelensky's mobilization plan and political legitimacy. Lastly, Russia continues its efforts to isolate Ukraine on the international stage.

3. Negotiations Are Crucial: Skibytsky stressed that Ukraine alone cannot defeat Russia on the battlefield. He argued that wars like these can only be resolved through negotiations and treaties. Both Ukraine and Russia are striving for favorable positions ahead of potential talks, but Skibytsky suggested that meaningful negotiations may not commence until the second half of 2025. He also highlighted Russia's impending challenges in military production capacity.

4. Baltic States at Risk: Skibytsky issued a startling warning that Russia could conquer the Baltic states within just seven days. He downplayed the significance of NATO's Article 5, which guarantees collective defense, citing the delayed reaction time of the alliance. Skibytsky urged Ukraine's partner countries to bolster defense production to protect themselves from Russia's encroachment.

5. Imminent Offensive in Kharkiv and Sumy Regions: Skibytsky revealed that Russia is preparing for an offensive in Ukraine's Kharkiv and Sumy regions in the northeast. The success of these plans relies on Ukraine's defense capabilities in Donbas. Skibytsky disclosed that Russian forces have deployed 514,000 troops for the operation, with the northern group expected to expand to 50,000-70,000 troops.

The alarming revelations from Skibytsky underscore the urgent need for international attention and support to counter Russia's aggressive ambitions. Ukraine's military intelligence deputy chief emphasized the importance of negotiations as the only path to ending the conflict. As tensions escalate along Ukraine's eastern border, the world watches anxiously to see how events unfold.

Note: The information provided is based on the statements made by Vadym Skibytsky in The Economist interview and does not reflect the views or opinions of this news organization.