Concerns Mount as North Korean Weapons Supply to Russia for Ukraine War Grows
ICARO Media Group
In a worrying development, it has been revealed that Russia has turned to North Korea for assistance in its ongoing war with Ukraine, acquiring a significant arsenal including artillery rounds and missiles. Officials from the United States and Europe are expressing deep concern, particularly regarding the potential impact of North Korean ammunition on the Ukrainian battlefield.
Putin's Russia, facing a rapid depletion of its own stockpile of arms, approached Kim Jong Un's North Korea with a massive shopping list, which included 1 million rounds of artillery and cutting-edge missiles. While initial reports indicate that many of the North Korean artillery rounds are defective and possibly outdated, they are still being used by Russia to target Ukrainian troops who are facing dwindling ammunition supplies themselves. European nations, who had promised to resupply Ukraine, have thus far managed to gather only around 300,000 artillery shells.
However, it is the transfer of missiles that causes the most apprehension among officials at the Pentagon and NATO headquarters in Brussels. Despite the current quantity of missiles being relatively low, estimated to be fewer than 50, U.S. and European officials fear that Russia's intentions may go beyond the current shipments. The concern lies in the fact that North Korea is sending its more recent missile models to Russia, which are proving to be as accurate as Russia's own weaponry. U.S. officials report at least three instances where North Korean-made missiles targeted Ukrainian positions, with more potential attacks feared.
Analysts and officials in South Korea believe that the conflict in Ukraine provides North Korea with a valuable opportunity to test its new missile arsenal against Western-designed air defenses, a capability designed for potential conflicts with South Korea and the United States.
Russia's reliance on North Korea as a arms supplier is reflective of its ongoing struggle to keep pace with the depleting stockpiles on both sides of the conflict. Apart from North Korea, Russia has also turned to Iran for weaponry, including drones and potentially missiles. However, there is currently no evidence to suggest that Russia has successfully acquired Iranian missiles.
While the majority of missiles being used in Ukraine are still of Russian origin, the potential increase in North Korean supplies puts Ukraine in a precarious situation. If Ukraine is forced to use its air defenses against a more intensified missile onslaught, it would be devastating for the country, especially if it does not receive additional military funding from Congress. The influx of North Korean arms has raised alarm among leading members of NATO, who express concerns about Ukraine's uncertain future supply sources.
At present, Ukrainian air defenses appear to be holding out against the attacks. General Christopher Cavoli, the top U.S. commander in Europe, has assured Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin that the Ukrainian military has sufficient air defenses to withstand the winter. However, if North Korea escalates its missile shipments and additional aid is not approved by Congress, the situation could quickly change.
Russia has already obtained several dozen North Korean missiles and intends to acquire more. President Vladimir Putin has indicated plans to visit North Korea in the near future. Since late December, Russia has launched North Korean missiles against Ukraine in at least three separate attacks.
While the missiles represent an additional challenge, it is worth noting that North Korea's artillery shells, despite being of low quality, still hold significance on the battlefield. Ukraine's ability to match the escalating firepower of Russian artillery has diminished, with the country struggling to fire 2,000 rounds daily, compared to Russia's augmented capability of reaching approximately 10,000 rounds.
Following the initial barrage of North Korean missiles, U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan has been working to build international support in condemning the illicit weapons transfers and increase pressure on North Korea to halt further shipments.
As discussions about additional aid continue in the U.S. political arena, Ukraine's allies are convening virtually to address the country's ammunition needs. The United States has previously provided Ukraine with various air defense systems and ammunition, which have proven effective in countering Russian missile attacks. Yet, in order to deliver more of these vital resources, Congress must approve an additional aid package.
The critical concern surrounding Ukrainian air defenses stems from the fact that Russia, having rebuilt its industrial capacity and accumulated stockpiles of missiles, could easily overpower Ukraine's defenses if it acquires even more North Korean missiles. Officials emphasize the urgent need for ongoing support to prevent further attacks on Ukraine.
As the situation unfolds, the United States faces obstacles in restraining additional shipments. Recent statements from North Korea indicate a more assertive foreign policy stance and a focus on solidifying ties with Russia. The extent and nature of this renewed relationship remain unclear, as Russia promises technological advancements and perhaps even additional ballistic missile capabilities in return for North Korean supplies. However, U.S. officials currently have no evidence to suggest that Russia has fulfilled these promises.
Amidst political debates on Capitol Hill and uncertainties surrounding Ukraine's future stocks, the war in Ukraine enters a critical phase. International support, Congressional approval, and efforts to dissuade North Korea from providing further weaponry will all play decisive roles in shaping the outcome of the conflict.