Potential Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Could Spark DeFi Yield Comeback, Attracting Big Players to the Crypto Market

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ICARO Media Group
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16/09/2024 19h44

According to analysts at Bernstein, there is a possibility of a DeFi (Decentralized Finance) yield resurgence as the potential for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve looms. This development could potentially revitalize the crypto credit market and reignite interest in DeFi and Ethereum (ETH/USD).

The Bernstein analysts, Gautam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra, and Sanskar Chindalia, highlighted that DeFi offers global users the opportunity to earn a yield on stablecoins like USDC/USD and USDT/USD by providing liquidity on decentralized lending markets. They predict that the potential rate cuts, in combination with a new crypto cycle, could breathe fresh life into the crypto lending markets, as reported by TheBlock.

Despite experiencing a decline from the DeFi boom of 2020, the lending yield on Aave - Ethereum's largest lending market - still ranges between 3.7% to 3.9%. This indicates that there is strong lending strength within the DeFi market. Furthermore, the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi has doubled from its 2022 low, reaching $77 billion. Additionally, there has been a three to four times increase in monthly DeFi users since the lows. Stablecoins are also regaining strength, with a value of around $178 billion, and monthly active wallets remaining stable at around 30 million.

While Ether has faced challenges in comparison to Bitcoin, the analysts suggest that a strengthening DeFi lending market on Ethereum could attract large whales and institutional investors back to the crypto credit markets. This potential influx of big players could serve as a catalyst to reverse Ether's underperformance relative to Bitcoin.

The potential revival of DeFi yields carries significant implications for the crypto market. It could potentially lead to an increase in digital asset prices and attract institutional investors back to the crypto credit markets. The analysts predict that if the credit appetite of crypto traders grows, stablecoin DeFi yields could surpass 5%, surpassing the returns offered by U.S. dollar money market funds. This could further stimulate crypto credit markets and bolster digital asset prices.

In light of this trend, Bernstein has made changes to its digital assets portfolio, replacing derivative protocols GMX and Synthetix with the Aave token. Over the last 30 days, the Aave token has experienced a 23% increase in value, despite Bitcoin prices remaining relatively flat or declining.

The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class will be explored in-depth at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19. The event aims to shed light on the transformation of the digital assets landscape and examine the potential of Bitcoin's role in the institutional market.

As the possibility of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve lingers, experts remain optimistic about the potential revival of DeFi yields and its impact on the crypto market. Only time will tell if these predictions come to fruition and if crypto credit markets will regain their former prowess.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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