European Markets Rise Amid ECB Rate Cut and Positive GDP Revisions; UBS Shares Surge on Capital Rule Proposals
ICARO Media Group
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European stock markets experienced an upswing this week, buoyed by news of the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate cut and an optimistic revision of first-quarter eurozone GDP. The Stoxx Europe 600 index and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 both gained 0.3%, while France's CAC 40 saw a 0.2% increase. Contrarily, Germany's DAX slipped by 0.1%.
In a notable development, UBS shares rallied significantly, soaring by as much as 6% following the Swiss government's proposal of stringent new capital regulations. These rules would require UBS to hold an additional $26 billion in Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. Despite the initial stringent appearance, analysts see a lengthy implementation period as a positive aspect. The new regulations, anticipated to be finalized by 2027, would not be fully enforced until 2033, allowing UBS ample time to meet the requirements.
JPMorgan's analyst Kian Abouhossein interpreted the long implementation timeline as favorable for UBS, suggesting that the bank's strong annual profit generation of about $12 billion, coupled with a $3 billion dividend, would enable it to address the 'capital gap' and continue share buybacks by 2033. Echoing this sentiment, Morningstar's senior equity analyst, Johann Scholtz, suggested the long phase-out offers UBS leverage to lobby for potential concessions, thereby potentially mitigating the impact of the new rules.
Meanwhile, in a separate update, the U.S. Treasury Department has added nine economies to its "monitoring list" for currency practices, avoiding the label of "currency manipulator" for Switzerland. The Swiss National Bank defended its stance, emphasizing it doesn't engage in unfair manipulation of the Swiss franc, despite the currency appreciating around 9.5% against the U.S. dollar this year.
Adding to the financial market's buzz, Euronext CEO Stéphane Boujnah shared insights on CNBC, highlighting increased interest in European stocks as investors seek stability amid global volatility, with a notable shift from U.S. assets.
Lastly, Tesla saw a 4.5% increase in premarket trade, despite a notable fall in its market cap due to a public spat between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. The tension has added to market volatility, with the European Stoxx Automobiles and Parts index down 0.5% amid ongoing debates over tariffs and trade policies.