NFL Running Back Struggles Cause Headaches in Fantasy Football Land
ICARO Media Group
Here's a breakdown of how key players and teams are faring.
In Tennessee, the passing game has seen improvement since Will Levis returned from a shoulder injury. However, their rushing attack has faltered. Tony Pollard is a prime example of this decline. During the first nine weeks, Pollard managed an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and scored 13.2 half-PPR fantasy points per game, surpassing 12.7 points in all but two matches. In contrast, his performance has dipped notably in the past two games with 3.3 yards per rushing attempt and only 6.1 fantasy points per game. More concerning is the reduction in his workload from an average of 17.8 rushing attempts per game to just 18 attempts over the last two weeks.
On the other hand, the Texans have demonstrated strong defensive resilience, conceding just 16.2 fantasy points per game to running backs, the sixth-fewest in the NFL. In recent games, they've managed to hold formidable opponents, including Breece Hall and the Detroit Lions' backfield, to 10.5 or fewer fantasy points.
Kyren Williams of the Rams faced a substantial change in usage following the return of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. The Rams have drastically reduced their rushing attempts inside the red zone to 28.6% of plays, the lowest in the league. Inside the 10-yard line, their rushing attempts drop to 23.1%, the third-lowest. Consequently, Williams has not scored a touchdown in the last three games, a first for him in the past two years.
Adding to the turmoil, the Eagles have proven to be a tough matchup for running backs. They allow the fifth-fewest fantasy points to RBs, having given up only two touchdowns to the position since Week 4. No running back has surpassed RB12 against them, and only four have ranked within the top 20 this season.
Meanwhile, changes are afoot in the Bears' backfield following Khalil Herbert's trade to the Bengals, resulting in a two-headed committee featuring D'Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson. Swift's snap share has dropped to 57%, his second-lowest of the season, while Johnson's increased to 42%, his first over 40%. Johnson notably received three of the four goal-line touches, hinting at a potential shift in roles. Head coach Matt Eberflus commended the distribution in the run game, with Johnson getting 11 opportunities to Swift's 16, a split likely to continue.
The Bears also saw Swift's route run rate dip below 40% twice in the past four games, marking a significant departure from the first six weeks. With Thomas Brown making his debut as the play-caller, all signs point to this altered usage pattern solidifying moving forward.