Netflix Set to Kick Off Earnings Season with Strong Q2 Expectations

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18/07/2024 20h31

As Wall Street's largest media and technology giants gear up for earnings season, all eyes are on streaming giant Netflix, which is expected to release its Q2 earnings report after the bell on Thursday. Analysts are anticipating a robust performance from the company, with hopes pinned on various growth initiatives and a solid content lineup.

According to analysts polled by LSEG, Netflix is projected to post earnings of $4.74 per share on approximately $9.53 billion in revenue for the quarter. In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $5.28 per share on $9.37 billion in revenue and witnessed a 16% increase in total memberships.

Netflix's success can be attributed to its ongoing efforts to clamp down on password sharing, the introduction of an advertising tier, and the rollout of a compelling content slate. Major firms have even raised their price targets ahead of the report.

Goldman Sachs' Eric Sheridan believes that Netflix is well-positioned for favorable operating momentum in the coming quarters, thanks to subscriber tailwinds, potential global pricing adjustments, and a strong content lineup extending into 2025. Sheridan emphasizes the importance of subscriber additions, margin expansion, and revenue reacceleration as key factors for investors.

Morgan Stanley's Benjamin Swinburne increased his price target to $780, highlighting the positive impact of advertising on the company's top-line numbers and margin expansion. Swinburne views Netflix as a standout player in the industry and envisions a potential "bull case" price target of $950 in the next year, representing a 20% upside from the previous day's close.

One critical aspect to watch will be Netflix's subscriber numbers, as the company faces fierce competition in the streaming landscape. While the company expects new subscriber numbers to be lower than the previous quarter's 9.3 million, analysts like Jefferies' James Heaney and JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth have revised their estimates upward, anticipating strong second-quarter subscriber growth.

Addressing the issue of paid password-sharing, Swinburne predicts that Netflix will convert 30% to 40% of the 100 million households sharing passwords into paying subscribers by the end of 2022. This suggests that there is still significant potential to attract new members who are already familiar with the service.

Although Netflix has been making strides in its advertising efforts, analysts such as Mark Mahaney of Evercore ISI suggest that ad demand needs to catch up with subscription numbers. However, Bank of America remains cautious, projecting that significant revenue contributions from advertising will likely not materialize until 2025, given the increasing competition in the ad-supported streaming space.

While some analysts, including Citi's Jason Bazinet and Piper Sandler's Matt Farrell, maintain a neutral stance on the stock due to its 34% year-to-date increase, they acknowledge Netflix's dominant position in the streaming market.

As investors eagerly await Netflix's earnings report, anticipation is high for another strong performance and potential insights into the company's subscriber growth, margin expansion, and revenue outlook.

(Note: This article is purely based on the information provided and does not include any additional analysis or speculation.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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