**Jeremy Ruckert's Potential Limited Receiving Role Against Texans**

In tonight's matchup, tight end Jeremy Ruckert of the New York Jets is expected to play a more conservative role. Usually, he runs routes on about 20% of quarterback Aaron Rodgers' dropbacks. Given the Jets' likely run-heavy strategy and chance of leading against the Houston Texans, Ruckert may only see opportunities to run about seven routes.

The Texans' defense poses a significant challenge, having the highest pressure rate in the NFL. This pressure might necessitate Ruckert focusing more on blocking rather than running routes. Additionally, Houston's defense is excellent at containing tight ends, ranking second in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) and holding them to just 2.6 yards of separation per target, the lowest in the league.

Considering these defensive stats, Ruckert's chances of catching a pass tonight are estimated to be around 50%. Historically, his median gain per catch is eight yards. However, he stays under 7.5 yards on a catch 47% of the time and under 6.5 yards at a 35% rate. Projections for this game indicate a 59% likelihood that he will stay under 6.5 yards and a 63% chance he will stay under 7.5 yards per catch.

As such, Ruckert's involvement in the passing game tonight could be quite limited, with a focus more on his blocking duties due to the formidable Texans' defense.