Investors Eye Bird Flu Vaccine Developers Amid Growing Concerns of Outbreak

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ICARO Media Group
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22/05/2024 23h26

In response to mounting cases of bird flu in humans, investors have turned their attention to vaccine developers, causing a surge in stock prices. The trend is reminiscent of past trading frenzies that occurred during outbreaks, attracting seasoned industry professionals and the day trading crowd alike.

Shares of CureVac NV, a company currently testing a bird flu vaccine in early-stage trials, soared 15% on Wednesday. This surge came as concerns heightened over a potential outbreak of bird flu in humans following reports of a new case in Australia. Similarly, Novavax Inc., which recently announced its plans to explore an avian flu vaccine, experienced its third consecutive day of gains, reaching its highest closing level since December 2022.

The positive momentum extended beyond CureVac and Novavax. Moderna Inc. witnessed a 2.9% increase in afterhours trading, while Pfizer Inc. saw a gain of 1.4% following reports of their discussions with the US government regarding the development of bird flu vaccines. Moreover, Moderna and BioNTech SE, renowned for their COVID-19 shots, recorded double-digit advances in regular trading, with Pfizer rising by 3.6%.

Jared Holz, a health-care specialist at Mizuho, commented on the situation, stating that bird flu concerns are fueling the rise in stocks that were already on an upward trajectory. Holz believes that the trading frenzy is partly driven by retail-oriented traders reacting to headlines linking bird flu problems with vaccine stocks. He advised caution, suggesting investors sell when prices are high since it is still uncertain whether the illness will spread or impact revenue. Nevertheless, the story is gaining traction.

Historically, outbreaks such as Ebola, Zika, and monkeypox have triggered similar swings in the stock market, especially for smaller players vying to develop a vaccine or treatment. Medical-focused chatrooms for day traders are actively seeking potential winners, although only a handful may emerge successfully. Ultimately, it is a rare achievement for a stock to become a household name like Moderna or BioNTech.

The reaction of stocks to the bird flu concerns has been notably extreme, according to Holz. However, the significance of the situation on revenue remains unclear. Investors had already been enthusiastic about the vaccine sector, with Novavax's stock witnessing a significant surge after securing a licensing agreement with Sanofi two weeks ago, as well as revealing its bird flu plans. Moderna's shares, on the other hand, rallied following a recent patent victory against Pfizer.

As the world grapples with the potential threat of a bird flu outbreak in humans, investors are closely monitoring the progress and development of vaccine solutions. The market's response showcases the delicate balance between speculation and the need for effective prevention and treatment options in uncertain times.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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