The Atlanta Falcons will be seeking redemption as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in a highly anticipated primetime matchup on Sunday. Both teams had contrasting outcomes in their season openers, setting the stage for an intriguing showdown at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Falcons (0-1) suffered a disappointing loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in their season opener, failing to meet expectations as 4-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles (1-0) emerged victorious against the Green Bay Packers in Brazil, covering a 2-point spread as neutral-site favorites.

Leading up to the game, the line initially favored Philadelphia as a 4-point home favorite. The public responded emphatically, with a staggering 84% of spread bets backing the Eagles. This one-sided support led to a line movement, with Philadelphia's favorability increasing to -6.5. However, sharp bettors showed confidence in the Falcons, resulting in a slight drop to +5.5 for Atlanta.

Adding to the Falcons' potential advantage is the absence of star wide receiver A.J. Brown for the Eagles, who will miss the game due to a hamstring injury. This news likely influenced the line movement, but the question remains as to whether it will fluctuate further towards the key number of -6 or tilt in favor of Atlanta at +5.

While the Falcons may not enjoy public support, their contrarian value cannot be ignored. They have only garnered 16% of spread bets, making them an intriguing option for those looking to go against the grain in this heavily bet primetime contest.

History supports the notion of siding with underdogs in Week 2 matchups, as they have gone 9-5 against the spread (ATS), showcasing a success rate of 64% since 2018. Primetime dogs have also been profitable, boasting a 56% ATS record with an 8% return on investment (ROI) since 2020. Furthermore, primetime road dogs have fared even better, with a 58% ATS record and an 11% ROI since 2020.

The road dogs trend continues into this season, as they hold a 13-9 ATS advantage, further solidifying their reputation as a viable betting option. Additionally, referee Craig Wrolstad has historically leaned towards the visiting team, providing an additional factor that could favor the Falcons.

Another intriguing aspect to consider is Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan's performance in primetime games. While he initially struggled with a 1-15 record, he has rebounded in recent years, boasting a 6-2 straight-up record in primetime contests since 2019. This resurgence suggests that Ryan could rise to the occasion against the Eagles.

For those looking to employ a teaser strategy, the Falcons could be considered as a teaser option, providing the opportunity to adjust the spread from +5.5 to +11.5. This adjustment allows bettors to pass through key numbers, increasing the potential for a successful outcome.

In addition to the spread, the betting landscape for the total score has also seen some movement. Sharp money has influenced the line, driving the total down from 48 to 45.5. Despite this adjustment, the public remains confident in the over, accounting for 56% of bets placed. This contrast between public sentiment and line movement adds an intriguing layer to the game, furthering the potential for a lower scoring affair.

Statistically, primetime unders have proven profitable, boasting a 60% success rate with a 15% ROI since 2019. The trend of the total falling by at least a point has also yielded positive results, with the under hitting at a 57% rate and an 8% ROI since 2021. Furthermore, referee Craig Wrolstad historically leans towards the under, holding a 53% track record.

Weather conditions for the game are expected to be favorable, with temperatures in the high 60s, cloudy skies, and mild winds of 5-8 MPH. These conditions are unlikely to significantly impact gameplay or favor one team over the other.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on the line movement and game day juice. Philadelphia backers may seize the opportunity to take the Eagles at -5.5 or less, while Falcons supporters may hold out for a +6 spread.

The clash between the Falcons and Eagles promises excitement, with both teams seeking to make their mark early in the season. With trends and statistics pointing towards a potential upset, the Falcons will look to defy the odds and seize victory on the national stage.