Six Telling Stats That Will Shape the Second Half of the 2023 NFL Season
ICARO Media Group
As the 2023 NFL season reaches its midway point, teams are gearing up for the playoff push or strategizing for the future. With that in mind, let's dive into six critical statistics from the first half of the season that will have a significant impact on the second half.
First, the Baltimore Ravens hold the top spot in point differential, leading the NFL by a margin of 35 points. Their impressive scoring margin of plus-80 signifies their dominance on the field, even against formidable opponents. With victories over the Bengals, Lions, and Seahawks, the Ravens are emerging as top contenders for the Super Bowl, especially considering their favorable second-half schedule.
Another stat of note revolves around Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who has experienced a staggering number of dropped passes in nine games. With a total of dropped passes reaching 7.4 percent, second only to Deshaun Watson, this drop rate combined with the Chiefs' high turnover rate raises concerns about their ability to defend their Super Bowl title. The Chiefs' success will heavily rely on their second-ranked scoring defense as their offense faces challenges.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy possesses the lowest passer rating in the fourth quarter of one-score games. Completing just 15 of 32 passes with zero touchdowns and three interceptions in those pressure situations, Purdy's struggles may hinder the 49ers' chances of making a deep playoff run. Additionally, his completion rate of 52.9 percent on third downs ranks near the bottom of regular starting quarterbacks.
On a positive note, Jacksonville Jaguars' quarterback Trevor Lawrence leads all healthy starting signal-callers with a stellar passer rating on deep passing attempts. With five deep touchdown passes and no interceptions out of 43 attempts, Lawrence's success contributes to the Jaguars' promising 6-2 record. Jacksonville appears poised to dominate the AFC South and potentially cause upsets in the playoffs.
The Miami Dolphins face an uphill battle with the combined winning percentage of their defeated opponents ranking last in the NFL. With their losses coming against strong teams such as the Bills, Eagles, and Chiefs, the Dolphins must overcome these setbacks to secure a playoff spot. Their challenging schedule in the final weeks of the season presents a formidable task, but their firepower cannot be overlooked.
Lastly, the conversion rate on third downs provides insight into teams' success and their Super Bowl odds. Currently, the Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles, and Dallas Cowboys lead the pack with conversion rates above 45 percent. This statistic signifies the importance of third-down success in determining teams' playoff potential. As last year's conference finalists excelled in this category, the Bills and Cowboys should not be dismissed despite recent tough losses.
As the 2023 NFL season progresses, these six telling stats will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the playoff picture and the destiny of teams vying for a Super Bowl title. With dominant performances, struggles under pressure, and impressive success rates on third downs, the second half of the season promises to be filled with excitement and uncertainty.