Paths Begin to Take Shape for College Football Playoff Contenders
ICARO Media Group
With the release of the penultimate College Football Playoff Rankings, the path to the four-team field is becoming clearer for the remaining contenders. This season has seen unprecedented stability at the top, with all of the current top four teams entering conference championship weekend undefeated. As the competition intensifies, eight teams are still in play for the College Football Playoff.
At the forefront is the University of Georgia, who sit at the top of the rankings. A win would solidify their position as the No. 1 seed and keep their hopes alive for a third consecutive national title. However, a loss could complicate matters for the Bulldogs, as Alabama and the other undefeated teams would likely leapfrog them in the rankings. In such a scenario, Georgia would need some chaos to reclaim a spot in the top four.
Michigan, ranked second in the standings, has a more straightforward path. A victory in the Big Ten Championship Game would ensure them no worse than the No. 2 seed. Even in the event of a loss, the Wolverines would still finish above Ohio State and other two-loss teams, but their fate beyond that is uncertain. A loss by Georgia, Oregon, and either Florida State or Texas would increase Michigan's chances of securing a playoff spot even without a conference title.
The University of Washington finds themselves in a similar situation. A win in the Pac-12 title game guarantees them a place in the playoff, no worse than the No. 3 seed. However, a loss would likely drop them behind Oregon and any other undefeated team with a loss. In this scenario, Washington's best chance lies in victories by Georgia, Michigan, Louisville, and Oklahoma State, which would eliminate several other one-loss contenders.
Florida State's path is relatively straightforward – a win is crucial for their playoff hopes, while a loss could push them down the rankings and potentially behind a two-loss team. The 'Noles find themselves as a lower-rated one-loss team due to the quality of their loss and the strength of their schedule.
Oregon, like Washington, faces a must-win situation. The Ducks have impressed the committee throughout the season and are likely to retain their position even with a victory against a tough opponent. Texas, on the other hand, needs a win in the Big 12 Championship Game as well as some help. Their head-to-head road win over Alabama could be advantageous, but they would also require losses by other contenders to secure a playoff berth.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are in a familiar position, having finished the season with an 11-1 record just like last year. However, this year they face more competition for a spot in the playoff. At a minimum, Michigan and the Pac-12 champion will finish ahead of Ohio State. They would need several favorable outcomes, including wins by Georgia and Washington, to have a chance at securing a playoff spot.
The Alabama Crimson Tide, currently ranked fifth, will need to win and move up four spots in the rankings to reach the playoff. A victory against Georgia would take care of three spots, but they would also require losses by Texas, Florida State, or Michigan to potentially secure the final spot.
As the regular season draws to a close, these contenders must navigate the challenges of conference championship games and hope for the right combination of wins and losses to secure a coveted spot in the College Football Playoff.
In other college football news, CBS Sports has released updated bowl projections for the 2023-24 season, offering insight into possible matchups following the conference championship games. These projections, however, are subject to change as the final rankings are determined.