Fantasy Insights for Week 12 of the 2023 NFL Season: Notable Nuggets to Inform Your Fantasy Decisions
ICARO Media Group
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As fantasy football managers gear up for Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season, it's crucial to gather valuable insights that can give you an edge over your opponents. This week, we bring you eight notable nuggets to consider before setting your lineup. From goal-line opportunities to emerging talents, there's plenty to analyze. Let's dive in!
Philadelphia Eagles: RB D'Andre Swift's Goal-Line Volume
Despite expectations, Philadelphia Eagles' quarterback Jalen Hurts has not dominated the goal-line carries. Surprisingly, D'Andre Swift, the team's top running back, boasts an equal number of goal-line carries as Hurts. The Eagles have developed a tendency to run the ball inside the 10-yard line, with only a 22 percent pass rate, significantly lower than any other team in the league. With this established tendency and a high number of red zone trips per game, Swift's goal-line volume should instill confidence in fantasy managers. Additionally, the Eagles' upcoming opponents in the fantasy playoffs have all allowed a significant number of goal-line rushing touchdowns. Swift is poised to capitalize on these opportunities.
Fun fact: Swift has scored in every other game this season since Week 2, potentially setting up for scoring in Weeks 13, 15, and 17.
Chicago Bears: QB Justin Fields' Rushing Potential
Justin Fields, the Chicago Bears' quarterback, is not only back from injury but also reintroducing a high rushing volume reminiscent of his breakout last season. In Week 11, the Bears called 13 designed runs for Fields, the most by any team in a single game this season. This shift in philosophy has elevated Fields' scoring pace from 17 points per game to over 23 per game while healthy. Fields will face the Minnesota Vikings next, a team he torched for 46 rushing yards in just two quarters before his injury in Week 6. Look for Fields to exploit the Vikings' blitz-happy defense and take advantage of increased designed runs, signaling an offensive resurgence for the Bears.
Los Angeles Chargers: RB Austin Ekeler's Efficiency Concerns
While Austin Ekeler remains a significant fantasy asset due to his volume and favorable playoff schedule, concerns arise regarding his efficiency. Observations reveal a noticeable lack of burst and explosiveness in Ekeler's running this season. During his longest run in Week 11, Ekeler reached a speed of just 13 miles per hour, below the average for NFL running backs. The lack of explosivity has impacted his efficiency, particularly in the inside run game, where he currently ranks outside the top 30 at his position. However, Ekeler's workload and favorable matchups still make him a viable RB1 option.
Baltimore Ravens: TE Isaiah Likely's Opportunity
The Baltimore Ravens have a history of targeting tight ends more frequently than any other team since Lamar Jackson's MVP campaign in 2019. With the arrival of new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, who values tight end usage, Isaiah Likely has an opportunity to shine. Likely displayed his talent last week by running 26 out of 33 possible routes—a notable feat for a tight end. As a rookie last season, he averaged more than 13 fantasy points in games with five or more targets. Considering this opportunity, efficient passing, and a favorable playoff schedule, fantasy managers should consider adding Likely as a must-have tight end option.
Minnesota Vikings: QB Joshua Dobbs' Rushing Impact
In just three games, Joshua Dobbs of the Minnesota Vikings has emerged as a fantasy starter not for his passing skills but for his ability to contribute in the rushing game. Dobbs has generated more rushing fantasy points than several prominent running backs, including Saquon Barkley. Interestingly, tight end T.J. Hockenson has also benefited from Dobbs' presence, enjoying a 35 percent target share since his arrival. However, the Vikings' wide receivers, including Jordan Addison and Justin Jefferson, have seen a decline in target share, impacting their fantasy value. With the weakness in their passing offense, focus on Dobbs' rushing ability and Hockenson's involvement in the passing game.
Denver Broncos: WR Courtland Sutton's End Zone Dominance
Courtland Sutton of the Denver Broncos has quietly established himself as the WR19 this season. Notably, he leads the team in end zone targets with 11, whereas Jerry Jeudy has only three. Sutton's presence on the field has yielded an exceptional 132.2 passer rating for his quarterback when targeted, second only to Tyreek Hill. Interestingly, Sutton ranks sixth in fantasy points per target in the NFL, showcasing his efficiency and ability to produce even without an overwhelming workload. With favorable matchups against bottom-12 defenses against wideouts in the final four games, including two against the Los Angeles Chargers, Sutton remains a valuable fantasy option.
As fantasy football managers navigate Week 12, these insights offer unique perspectives on player performances, tendencies, and upcoming matchups. Utilizing this knowledge can help fantasy managers make informed decisions and gain an edge over their competition. Good luck in your matchups!