Paramount Global Stock Rises as Analyst Upgrades Shares Following Potential Stake Sale

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ICARO Media Group
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20/12/2023 21h11

In a positive turn of events for Paramount Global (PARA) shareholders, the stock experienced a 2% surge in early trading on Wednesday. This increase came after Wells Fargo analyst Steve Cahall upgraded the shares from Underweight to Equal Weight and raised the price target to $18 per share, citing the "higher deal probability" stemming from reports of a potential sale of the Redstone family's controlling stake in the company.

Shari Redstone, the non-executive chairwoman of Paramount Global and president of National Amusements (NAI), her family's holding company, currently holds the controlling stake through its Class A shares. However, recent speculation indicates that RedBird Capital, a private investment firm, and David Ellison, CEO of Skydance Media, are potential buyers of the stake.

The acquisition of National Amusements shares by RedBird and Skydance could enable them to take control of Paramount Global without a full purchase. This strategic move would allow the group to either divest undesirable assets or seek a strategic partner.

In his note to clients, Cahall expressed optimism about the potential merger and acquisition (M&A) prospects, stating, "M&A headlines change our thesis around PARA given underlying asset potential. We continue to believe that NAI might like to sell a controlling stake to a content operator that would protect the significance of Paramount Studios, i.e., willing buyer(s), willing seller."

Furthermore, Cahall suggested that a future owner could potentially shut down Paramount+, Paramount Global's streaming service. This would allow the company to license its valuable content, including NFL streaming rights, films, and popular series like "Yellowstone," to other streaming players in the market.

Paramount Global has long been considered an attractive acquisition target due to its relatively small size compared to competitors. With a current market capitalization of approximately $11 billion, Paramount Global falls far behind industry giants like Disney ($172 billion) and Netflix ($217 billion).

In recent times, Paramount Global has demonstrated its commitment to streamline its operations by divesting non-core assets to mitigate debt and enhance its balance sheet. Last quarter, the company successfully completed the sale of Simon & Schuster to investment firm KKR for $1.62 billion in an all-cash deal. Additionally, rumors have circulated about the potential sale of assets such as Showtime and BET Media Group.

Aside from Paramount Global, analysts have also identified Warner Bros. Discovery and NBCUniversal as potential entities that could be impacted by consolidation within the industry. Speculation even suggests that a merger between two of these three players might be possible in the near future.

As news of a potential stake sale and improved M&A prospects circulate, Paramount Global's stock has received a significant boost. Shareholders and market observers will closely monitor further developments to see if a deal materializes, potentially reshaping the company's future in the highly competitive entertainment industry.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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