Youth Voters Swing Towards Trump as Harris Struggles to Connect
ICARO Media Group
****
In a surprising shift, the under-30 voter demographic, crucial for the Democrats in past elections, moved towards President-elect Trump, leaving Vice President Harris with a significant gap to bridge. Early exit polls revealed Harris garnered only 54% support from young voters, falling short of the 60% benchmark that previous Democratic candidates have achieved since 2008. Her numbers especially plummeted in key states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.
Michigan, in particular, saw a dramatic change. Trump managed to secure 49% of the youth vote, equalling Harris's share and marking a stark 24-point drop from the 2020 election. Despite having over 100 days to present her platform, Harris's message seemed to resonate less with young Americans than Trump's agenda, which he had been pushing for years.
A University of Chicago poll conducted a month before Election Day highlighted a potential information gap among young voters. While nearly 80% of those under 40 felt they knew enough about Trump, only 57% could say the same about Harris. John Della Volpe, a seasoned analyst of youth politics who worked on Biden's 2020 campaign, suggested that Harris's appeal on economic issues fell flat with the younger demographic. According to Della Volpe, many young people believed their personal finances would be better under a Trump administration, a perception unchanged by Democratic efforts over the past year.
Harris's campaign focused heavily on protecting abortion access, an issue that has mobilized young Democratic voters in recent elections. However, early data from the Associated Press revealed that this year's young voters were more concerned with the economy and jobs, with abortion lagging far behind. Trump secured the majority of votes from those prioritizing the economy.
Trump also made notable gains among young men, winning 56% of their votes compared to 41% in the 2020 election. Della Volpe remarked that this trend reflects young men's growing alienation from the modern Democratic Party, a sentiment exacerbated under a Trump-influenced environment. "They feel disconnected," he said, emphasizing that reversing this trend requires long-term investment, an area where Trump has outpaced the Democrats.
Conversely, young women favored Harris by an 18-point margin, though this lead was still less than Biden's four years ago. Despite Harris's efforts to engage young voters through social media and student organizing programs, her support dwindled as Election Day approached. Trump's youth outreach, primarily online, capitalized on platforms like TikTok and popular podcasts, helping him build a substantial following. Turning Point USA's Charlie Kirk highlighted this as a successful strategy, noting the possibility of achieving even more than initially expected.
In essence, while Harris aimed to energize young voters, her campaign struggled against Trump's deeply rooted and effective engagement efforts, leaving Democrats to reconsider their approach to this critical voting bloc.