Vice President Harris Narrows Gap with Trump in Battleground State of Florida, Poll Shows

ICARO Media Group
Politics
13/08/2024 21h42

In a surprising turn of events, Vice President Kamala Harris has narrowed the gap between herself and former President Donald Trump in the battleground state of Florida, according to recent polling data from Suffolk University. The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll revealed that Harris trails Trump by only 5 points among likely Florida voters, with 42 percent supporting the vice president compared to Trump's 47 percent. This close margin falls just outside the poll's margin of error, indicating a tight race in the Sunshine State.

Florida has long been considered a stronghold for Republicans, boasting a million more registered Republicans than Democrats. Trump emerged victorious in the state during both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. However, the recent polling results suggest that Vice President Harris has made significant strides in closing the gap with the former president.

David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, expressed surprise at the close margin, considering the Republican Party's registration advantage and Trump's previous successes in the state. "Given those circumstances, I was surprised that Harris is within striking distance, being only 5 points down," Paleologos stated in an interview with USA Today.

Interestingly, among independent voters in Florida, Vice President Harris leads the race with 41 percent support, compared to Trump's 34 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garners 10 percent of the support in this demographic. Paleologos highlighted the significance of this trend, stating that the overwhelming Republican registration advantage is partially offset by Kamala Harris winning over independents, particularly independent women. He further suggested that Florida could become more competitive than anticipated due to the presence of an abortion rights question (Amendment 4) on the statewide ballot, which may drive up turnout among women voters.

Since entering the race last month following President Biden's withdrawal, Vice President Harris has seen a surge in her polling numbers. Recent polling data from The New York Times/Siena College revealed that Harris leads Trump by 4 points in three crucial swing states: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. These states are considered vital battlegrounds in the upcoming presidential election.

Moreover, an average of national polls conducted by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ shows that Harris has pulled ahead of Trump by 1.4 points. This trend suggests that the vice president has gained momentum and has the potential to challenge the former president's standing in the national race.

The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll was conducted between August 7th and 11th, featuring a sample size of 500 likely Florida general election voters. The margin of sampling error was calculated to be plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. As the race heats up and election day approaches, the close margin in Florida indicates that the state could play a pivotal role in the upcoming presidential election.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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