### Analysis Reveals Harris’s Declining Urban Support in 2024

An in-depth analysis by The New York Times has revealed that Kamala Harris saw a significant decline in urban voter support during the 2024 election compared to Joseph R. Biden Jr.'s performance in 2020. This drop in votes was particularly evident in 11 major U.S. cities, highlighting a notable challenge for the Democratic Party as they faced gains by Donald J. Trump in rural and suburban areas.

In Atlanta, both Harris and Trump managed to attract new voters. However, Harris’s gains in precincts dominated by white voters were offset by losses elsewhere, allowing Trump to improve his support among voters of color and secure a victory in Georgia, a state Biden won narrowly in 2020.

Chicago showcased a broader issue for Harris’s campaign, with a significant drop in Democratic votes across the city's precincts. Despite winning by a 58-point margin, Harris collected 47,000 fewer votes in Mexican and Puerto Rican neighborhoods than Biden did in 2020. Trump, meanwhile, managed small but substantive gains.

Detroit saw Harris struggle significantly with Arab-American voters in Wayne County. Middle East policies under Biden's administration had alienated many, resulting in thousands of votes swinging to Trump while Democratic support waned. Precincts with high shares of Arab residents represented only 6 percent of the electorate but contributed more than 40 percent to the Democratic vote decline.

In Houston, Harris underperformed compared to Biden’s 2020 totals, particularly in lower-income Latino neighborhoods. Overall, her vote count in these areas fell by 28 percent. This trend was consistent in rapidly growing areas where Trump made notable gains.

The scenario in Miami was characterized by Trump's increasing popularity among Latino voters, including those from non-Cuban backgrounds like Nicaraguans and Colombians. This diverse support helped him flip Miami-Dade County, marking a significant shift in Florida’s political landscape.

In Phoenix, Latino neighborhoods, especially those with large Mexican populations, reflected a pattern of declining support for Harris. Despite making some gains in predominantly white areas, her overall losses facilitated Trump’s inroads into the Democratic stronghold.

San Francisco, a city known for its liberal leanings, also witnessed a shift towards Trump, especially in Asian neighborhoods. Despite winning the city by a wide margin, Harris saw Trump gain over 6,000 votes at her expense.

The Times utilized data spanning from state and local officials across multiple counties, including Georgia, Chicago, Wayne County, Harris County, Clark County, Miami-Dade County, Milwaukee County, New York City, Philadelphia, Maricopa County, and San Francisco. This comprehensive analysis underscores the changing urban dynamics and signals critical areas the Democratic Party may need to address ahead of future elections.