Uncharted Territory: Disruptions and Transformations in American Politics Ahead of 2024 Elections

ICARO Media Group
Politics
28/10/2024 23h37

### Unprecedented Shifts in American Politics as Elections Loom

The aftermath of former President Donald Trump's rally at Madison Square Garden last night has dominated the news cycle, overshadowing other significant events just over a week before the election. Whether it's the Washington Post retracting its endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris or Elon Musk, a staunch Trump supporter, establishing direct communication with Vladimir Putin, the 2024 campaign has demonstrated a departure from historical norms in American politics. Analysts suggest that these developments are not merely disruptions but indicative of a future some have long anticipated.

James Pethokoukis, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and author of "The Conservative Futurist," draws parallels between the current state of affairs and Alvin Toffler's predictions in his 1970 book "Future Shock." According to Pethokoukis, Toffler foresaw societies becoming disoriented by rapid changes. "He basically predicted that the pace of change and information would become so overwhelming that it would psychologically destabilize people," Pethokoukis said, highlighting how the flood of information in today's media landscape could affect societal well-being.

The transformation in media is particularly notable. Both the Trump and Harris campaigns have aggressively leveraged "new media" outlets to connect with younger voters who are largely unreachable through traditional platforms. Trump recently appeared on Joe Rogan's podcast, which boasts about 15 million listeners, to discuss his neo-McKinleyite economic agenda. In contrast, Harris has engaged with audiences through popular podcasts like "Call Her Daddy" and "All the Smoke."

This evolution in media is part of a broader shift that includes changes in polling methodologies. After consistently underestimating Trump's support in the 2016 and 2020 elections, pollsters have overhauled their approaches. Traditional phone polling has become unreliable due to widespread caller ID and the decline of landlines. Nowadays, polls are often conducted via text or mail and weighed against controversial metrics like the "recalled vote" to better capture public sentiment. The implications of these methodological changes will only become apparent after Election Day.

Policy discussions during this campaign have also diverged from typical party lines. Trump, for instance, has spoken about "family caregivers," and critiqued the CHIPS and Science Act during his appearance on Rogan's podcast. Meanwhile, Harris has sought to engage Black male voters with pro-cryptocurrency policies. These stances reflect a broader trend of candidates proposing ambitious policies to appeal to a diverse electorate.

As November 6 approaches, polling data points to a historically uncertain race, with many swing states and the national vote appearing to be in a dead heat. Musk's significant influence as a telecoms operator and financier for Trump adds another layer of complexity, potentially granting Silicon Valley more freedom depending on the election outcome. Even with an "establishment" candidate like Harris, uncertainties remain, not least because of the unconventional nature of her mid-summer ticket switchover and evolving policy positions.

Though these trends have been visible for some time, their convergence in this election cycle underscores a moment of profound transformation and uncertainty. The future remains unpredictable, yet signs of this digital age shift are evident for those paying attention.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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