Trump's Potential Second Term: Impacting American Healthcare Through ACA Reform and Policy Shifts
ICARO Media Group
**Trump's Potential Second Term Could Reshape American Healthcare**
Donald Trump's return to the Oval Office could usher in significant changes to Americans' healthcare coverage. Drawing from his previous term and recent campaign promises, Trump has indicated his intent to revamp the Affordable Care Act (ACA), famously known as Obamacare. Although he hasn't provided specific details, Trump stated during a presidential debate in September that he would implement a new plan if it could lower costs and improve healthcare quality.
As president, Trump would have the authority to influence various aspects of the healthcare system, including insurance coverage, drug price negotiations, government health regulations, and access to reproductive health services. His track record presents a mixed stance on government health insurance policies such as the ACA, which, according to the Department of Health and Human Services, covers 45 million people through programs like Medicare and Medicaid. One critical issue on the horizon is the expiration of enhanced federal ACA subsidies at the end of next year. The Congressional Budget Office warns that if these subsidies are not extended, nearly 4 million people could lose their coverage in 2026 due to unaffordability.
Trump’s position on Medicare is equally complex. Despite past suggestions to cut the program, his transition team has assured that Medicare will be "strongly protected" in a second term. However, changes to Medicare and Medicaid could affect care options for those insured under the ACA. During his first term, Trump supported a Supreme Court case aimed at overturning the ACA. The ACA, signed into law by former President Barack Obama in 2010, expanded Medicaid for low-income individuals and extended Medicare for older Americans. It also mandated that insurance companies cover individuals with preexisting conditions.
Experts like Yunan Ji, an assistant professor and economist at Georgetown University, caution that reducing or repealing ACA coverage could negatively impact Americans with preexisting conditions, potentially leading to loss of coverage or higher healthcare costs. Ji emphasizes that the purpose of insurance is to protect against future risks, and creating separate risk pools for those needing care undermines this principle.
Trump has also indicated support for further privatizing the healthcare sector, which could result in higher out-of-pocket costs and limited in-network care options for those on ACA plans. Additionally, President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, which aims to lower prescription drug costs and cap out-of-pocket expenses for Medicare beneficiaries, requires Trump to continue existing drug price negotiations through 2025.
On reproductive healthcare, Trump has voiced intent to ban all gender-affirming healthcare and hormone therapies for minors, services covered by ACA in some states. Project 2025, a proposal from Trump allies, suggests significant national restrictions on abortion and birth control. Trump's support for federal enforcement of the Hyde Amendment could further limit Medicaid coverage for abortion services.
Trump's healthcare policy priorities will become clearer with his cabinet appointments. He has nominated vaccine-skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services, a move still needing Senate approval. This appointment could have substantial implications for federal health and insurance regulations.
Any major changes to healthcare policy will require Congressional approval, and Trump may likely find support from a Republican-led Senate and House. A spokesperson for the Trump-Vance transition team noted that Trump's re-election provides a mandate to fulfill his campaign promises, including healthcare reforms.