Kamala Harris Surpasses Donald Trump in Iowa Poll as Women and Older Voters Drive Unexpected Shift

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
03/11/2024 18h51

### Kamala Harris Overtakes Donald Trump in Iowa Poll, Surprising Shift Driven by Women and Older Voters

In a surprising turn of events, Kamala Harris has edged out Donald Trump in a new Iowa poll, according to recent findings released by the Des Moines Register. This development is particularly notable given that Trump won the state comfortably in both the 2016 and 2020 elections.

A survey conducted by Selzer & Co. among 808 likely voters from October 28 to 31 revealed that Harris leads Trump 47% to 44%. While the results lie within the poll's margin of error of 3.4 percentage points, they mark a significant shift from a September poll that had Trump ahead by 4 points. The recent data highlights a particular surge in support for Harris among women, especially those who are older or politically independent.

The poll underscores the stark divide between the candidates on key issues, particularly abortion, which appears to be influencing voter preferences. J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., stated, "Age and gender are the two most dynamic factors that are explaining these numbers," emphasizing the dramatic shift in voter demographics.

However, the Trump campaign has dismissed the findings as an outlier. They point to a contrasting poll released the same day by Emerson College, which shows Trump with a 10-point lead over Harris among a similar number of likely voters surveyed on November 1 and 2. This poll also has a 3.4 percentage point margin of error.

Iowa GOP chair Jeff Kaufman vehemently criticized the Des Moines Register poll and its methodology, accusing the publication of spreading propaganda. He maintained confidence in a Trump victory in Iowa, reiterating earlier statements that predicted a significant win for Trump in the state.

Nationally, Harris and Trump remain locked in a tight race, with Election Day fast approaching. Iowa's six Electoral College votes could prove pivotal, as candidates continue to focus their efforts on key battleground states including North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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