Kamala Harris Sees Lead Decline Against Trump in Latest Polling Data
ICARO Media Group
**Kamala Harris Loses Ground to Trump as Election Day Approaches**
Vice President Kamala Harris is seeing her lead over former President Donald Trump shrink, according to the latest polling data from three major surveys. This shift is generating concern among Democrats with less than a month remaining before Election Day.
The most alarming data for Harris supporters comes from an NBC News poll, showing a significant decline of six percentage points for the vice president within a month. The numbers now place Trump with a slight lead of 47% to Harris's 46% among registered voters, factoring in third-party candidates. This contrasts sharply with the previous month’s results where Harris held a 47% to 41% advantage.
Another set of numbers from a survey conducted by ABC News/Ipsos mirrors this trend. Harris now leads among likely voters by a slim margin of 50% to 48%, a marked reduction from the 52% to 46% lead she held just a month ago.
Furthermore, a CBS News/YouGov poll presents Harris ahead of Trump nationally at 51% to 48%, with battleground states showing a narrow 50% to 49% lead for the vice president among likely voters. This poll reveals that Trump's national support increased by one percentage point compared to September’s figures, where Harris led 52% to 48%.
These polls have impacted Harris' standing in the RealClearPolitics aggregate of national polling, now reflecting a reduced lead of 1.4 percentage points, down from 2.2 points on Saturday. In swing state contests, Trump appears to be gaining ground as well.
Expert analysis suggests that for Harris to secure a victory, she may need a substantial national polling advantage, in the range of five to six points. Historical trends have shown that Trump supporters are less likely to participate in polls, and Republicans might benefit from the electoral college structure.
In key swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan, internal polling has revealed troubling signs for Harris, showing that she is currently trailing Trump. This has led to increasing confidence among GOP insiders, some of whom are already predicting a Trump victory.
NBC News survey data highlights a drop in Harris' favorability ratings, now at 43% positive versus 49% negative, with declines notably among younger and independent voters. The same poll indicates Trump leading on issues such as the economy, inflation, immigration, and dealing with the Middle East conflict. Harris, however, maintains leads on issues of abortion, looking out for the middle class, and safeguarding democracy.
As the November election day approaches, these trends underscore the challenges Harris faces and the increasing uncertainty among her supporters.