Kamala Harris Predicted to Secure Victory in Swing States, Telegraph Poll Reveals
ICARO Media Group
According to a recent poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph, Kamala Harris is on track to win the upcoming US presidential election. The survey, which focused on seven swing states, indicates that the vice-president has gained enough support in key battlegrounds to secure the necessary 270 electoral college delegates.
The poll findings show that Harris is projected to win crucial swing states such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, granting her the required number of electoral college delegates for victory. In contrast, the poll suggests that incumbent President Donald Trump would secure 262 delegates, falling just short of the threshold.
The results indicate that Harris would follow a similar path to the White House as Joe Biden did in the 2020 election, relying on support from the Rust Belt states in the Midwest. On the other hand, Trump is projected to win swing states like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, while both candidates are tied at 47 percent of the vote in Nevada.
The analysis assumes that the remaining 43 states would vote similarly to the 2020 election. Notably, the poll highlights a decline in Trump's support in North Carolina since the previous survey conducted by The Telegraph before the Democratic National Convention. Harris is now only one point behind Trump in both North Carolina and Arizona, states won by Biden during the last election.
The poll further reveals that Harris has successfully narrowed Trump's lead in most swing states, following Biden's decision to step back from the presidential race on July 21. Additionally, Biden has a net negative approval rating in all states surveyed, except for Georgia, while Harris enjoys a positive rating in all seven states.
The survey also sheds light on the voters' priorities, with the economy ranked as the most crucial issue for the majority of voters in all surveyed states. Approximately half of the voters expressed that their personal finances had worsened in the past year. Harris has endorsed Biden's plans for $5 trillion in tax increases, targeting the wealthiest Americans through increased capital gains tax, corporation tax, and changes to inheritance rules. In response, Trump has criticized her "radical" left-wing campaign and proposed tax cuts and the elimination of taxes on hospitality workers' tips.
While the majority of voters trust Trump more on economic matters in five of the seven states, those in Georgia and Nevada, where Trump currently leads, prefer Harris's stance on the economy. On the issue of immigration, voters in all seven states expressed a preference for the Republican position.
The analysis of the poll results suggests that Trump still has a viable path to securing 270 electoral college votes if he wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, where he currently holds an advantage. Pennsylvania, a state won by Biden in 2020, has emerged as a major battleground in this year's election and has witnessed multiple campaign visits by both candidates and their running mates.
Despite the challenges, Harris's projected victories in swing states demonstrate her growing momentum and potential to secure the presidency. As the election approaches, both campaigns are expected to intensify their efforts to sway undecided voters and solidify their support base in the crucial battlegrounds.
(Note: This article is based on information provided by a poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph in seven swing states. The results assume similarities to the 2020 election in the remaining 43 states.