Harris and Trump Neck and Neck in Georgia Poll, Reflecting Tight Race
ICARO Media Group
According to a recent Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll released on Wednesday, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are engaged in a close race in Georgia, highlighting the increased competitiveness of the contest with less than two months remaining until the election.
The poll indicates that Trump garners 47% support among voters, while Harris follows closely at 44%. The narrow margin falls within the poll's 3.1 percentage point margin of error. Approximately 7% of voters reported being undecided. Other third-party candidates, including Libertarian Chase Oliver, polled below 1%.
A comparison with the AJC's June poll reveals a significant tightening of the race. Earlier this year, Trump held a 5-point lead over President Joe Biden, with 8% of voters undecided. However, since Biden's withdrawal from the race, Trump has maintained a strong hold on the Republican base, with over 90% of Georgia Republicans, two-thirds of white voters, and a majority of voters aged 65 and over backing his comeback bid.
Nevertheless, Harris has made notable progress among certain demographics. She has shown improvement with young voters, nearly tying Trump's support among Georgians under 30. Additionally, Harris has gained some ground among independent voters. However, there is still work to be done in rebuilding the coalition that propelled Biden's narrow victory in Georgia in 2020. Only 86% of Democrats and 77% of Black voters currently support Harris, which is approximately 10 points below the desired mark for Democratic support.
The enthusiasm gap between the two candidates has narrowed significantly, with the majority of Democrats, Republicans, and independents expressing excitement about their respective choices. Furthermore, the majority of decided voters have indicated that they are firm in their decision, with less than 3% saying there is a chance they may change their minds before the election.
There appears to be greater satisfaction among Georgians with their choices compared to previous AJC polls. Approximately 51% of voters now claim they are at least somewhat satisfied with the options available to them. Democrats, in particular, have become more content with their choices, contrasting with responses in June when half of Democratic voters indicated they would have preferred an alternative to Biden. Currently, only one-third of Democrats express dissatisfaction with their options.
One voter, Brad Pruiett, a 50-year-old elevator mechanic, expressed support for Trump but admitted hesitancy due to the perceived "bickering back-and-forth" during the Republican's previous term. Pruiett believes that if Kamala Harris were to be elected president, Democrats would continue to lead the country for four more years, which he deems unfavorable. He stressed the importance of Republicans and Democrats working together for the benefit of the nation.
Interestingly, the poll reveals that 48% of Georgians believe Harris will win in November, regardless of their personal support. Surprisingly, 14% of Republicans anticipate Harris's victory, while 8% of Democrats believe Trump will win back the White House.
The poll also provides insights into voters' opinions of various political figures in Georgia. Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff, up for reelection in 2026, receives a 39% favorable rating compared to a 33% unfavorable rating. Approximately 30% of Georgia voters have no impression of Ossoff. Governor Brian Kemp, a Republican, enjoys a 55% favorable opinion, including support from nearly one-third of Democrats and a majority of independents. Democratic U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock has a favorable view from 45% of Georgians, while 41% hold a negative opinion of him, and 15% are unsure.
Overall, Georgians show a pessimistic outlook for the nation, with almost two-thirds believing the U.S. is heading down the wrong track. However, 58% of respondents expect the economy to improve in the next year. Economic issues dominate voters' priorities, with 43% identifying the economy, jobs, inflation, or the cost of living as their top concern. Other issues such as immigration, abortion, and public safety rank significantly lower in importance.
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll provides a snapshot of the current sentiments among Georgia voters, shedding light on the upcoming presidential election and the factors that could influence its outcome. Conducted by the University of Georgia's School of Public and International Affairs from September 9-15, the poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters, with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. These findings mark the sixth poll in a series leading up to the 2024 presidential election.
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