Florida Poll Reveals Support for Overturning State's Abortion Ban
ICARO Media Group
A recent USA TODAY/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll reveals that more than half of Floridians support overturning the state's abortion ban. However, with the requirement of 60% voter approval for a constitutional amendment, the outcome remains uncertain.
The poll surveyed 500 likely voters and asked their stance on Amendment 4, which is set to appear on November's ballot. This initiative aims to allow first and second-trimester abortions or later if it protects the health of patients.
Florida's recent enactment of an almost complete ban on abortions after six weeks of pregnancy has raised concerns among residents. Prior to this law, Florida had some of the least restrictive abortion laws in the Southeast region, attracting more than 7,000 women from across the region for the procedure.
Maria Vistoso, a 55-year-old grandmother from Plantation, Florida, expressed her general opposition to abortions but acknowledged that there are situations where the procedure becomes necessary. She mentioned incidents such as incest, rape, or illness as instances where women might need access to abortions.
According to the results of the USA TODAY/Suffolk/WSVN-TV poll, 58% of respondents agreed with Vistoso's stance and supported Amendment 4. However, this falls slightly short of the 60% needed for passing the amendment. Experts suggest that this gap could potentially close by November.
Considering the poll's margin of error of 4.4%, it's possible that anywhere between 54% and 62% of voters support abortion rights.
Interestingly, many poll respondents who back abortion also expressed their support for Republican Donald Trump's re-election campaign. Despite Trump appointing Supreme Court justices who voted to overturn federal abortion rights, it appears that voting preferences can be nuanced and not solely aligned with one party or another.
David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, highlighted that Florida women, regardless of party affiliation, are driving this trend. A significant majority of Democratic and Independent women favor fewer restrictions on abortions, while only 39% of Republican women share this viewpoint.
Notably, black respondents showed higher levels of support for abortion compared to white respondents. Hispanic respondents fell in between these two groups in terms of their stance on the issue.
Maria Vistoso, a mother of two and grandmother of seven, plans to vote for Trump in November due to her concerns about immigration and the economy. She believes that Trump's policies align more closely with her own beliefs.
The poll's findings align with other data indicating that women's views on abortion are not strictly defined by party lines. A KFF poll released on the same day revealed that one in five women of reproductive age in Florida have had an abortion, including 20% of Republican women and 19% of Democratic women.
Furthermore, the KFF poll found that 74% of respondents nationwide oppose leaving abortion policy up to individual states. This sentiment was shared by just over half of Republicans, 86% of Democrats, and 73% of independents.
Despite Florida voters' potential support for an abortion amendment, polling experts suggest that this ballot initiative has little impact on their choice for presidential candidates. The USA TODAY poll indicates that 35% of Trump supporters also backed Amendment 4.
David Macdonald, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Florida, noted that abortion tends to be a "gut level issue" where voters are more likely to split their tickets based on personal beliefs rather than party affiliations.
While Democratic nominee Kamala Harris' support has been increasing in Florida, Macdonald does not anticipate this influencing the abortion vote in November.
As Florida prepares for November's vote on Amendment 4 and other ballot measures, it remains to be seen how these issues will shape the electoral landscape in this diverse and dynamic state.