Bitcoin Surges as Federal Reserve Chair Signals Impending Rate Cut

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
23/08/2024 18h15

The price of Bitcoin experienced a significant rise on Friday following remarks made by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, indicating that a rate cut is on the horizon. Powell's address at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium in Wyoming signaled the central bank's intention to prioritize addressing weakness in the labor market while acknowledging the need to adjust policies.

Bitcoin's price saw a 1.8% increase to reach $61,500, with a temporary surge above $62,000 immediately after Powell's comments. Notably, other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum and Solana also experienced gains of 2.7% and 2.1% respectively, with prices reaching $2,675 and $145.

Market analysts now believe that the Federal Reserve will ease up on its inflation fight, as they have maintained their benchmark interest rate since July 2023. According to CME Fedwatch, there is a 67% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September, while a 0.50% rate cut is given a 32% probability.

Inflation in the United States reached a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 as the economy rebounded from pandemic-related slowdowns. To counter rising consumer prices, the Federal Reserve gradually raised interest rates to their highest levels since 2007. However, as the labor market remained tight and wages increased, it became clear that a rigorous response was necessary.

As borrowing costs decrease due to potential rate cuts, risks associated with risk-on assets tend to diminish, according to Leena ElDeeb, a research associate at 21Shares. Powell's remarks reassure markets that the time has come for a shift in the Fed's policy, while cautioning that future economic data will influence the timing and pace of rate cuts.

Powell emphasized that the Fed's primary focus is to maintain price stability and maximize employment. While inflation has slowed to 2.9% in the 12 months leading up to June, the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%, compared to its historic low of 3.4% in February 2023. Powell cited indicators such as the ratio of unemployment to job vacancies, suggesting that the labor market is returning to its pre-pandemic state.

Addressing the challenge of navigating a high inflation period, the Federal Reserve faces the tricky task of timing interest rate adjustments. Acting too early could result in persistent inflation, while prolonged high interest rates could stifle economic growth and push it into a recession. Powell expressed the need to balance these risks and avoid further pooling in labor market conditions.

Despite the challenges posed by extended COVID-19 lockdowns in China and disruptions to supply chains, Powell highlighted the progress made in curbing inflation. The Federal Reserve's efforts, combined with the easing of aggregate demand and the stabilization of inflation expectations, have put inflation on a sustainable path toward the central bank's 2% target.

The prospect of an imminent rate cut announced by Powell has increased market confidence, contributing to the surge in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Investors eagerly await the Federal Reserve's decision and remain vigilant for further economic indicators that will shape the direction of monetary policy in the coming months.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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