Bitcoin Price Slump Potentially Linked to Kamala Harris' Rising Election Odds, Bernstein Analysts Suggest
ICARO Media Group
In a recent report published by Bernstein analysts, it is suggested that the recent decline in Bitcoin's price may be attributed to the growing expectations of Kamala Harris winning the U.S. presidential election over Donald Trump. The excitement surrounding Harris' campaign has allegedly contributed to the drop in Bitcoin's value, as indicated by multiple polls and the Polymarket crypto prediction markets platform.
Following President Joe Biden's decision to withdraw from the race for the Democratic candidacy in favor of his vice president, the odds of a Harris victory have increased significantly. However, Bernstein analysts believe that this development could have a bearish impact on the cryptocurrency market due to the broader approach Democrats have taken to crypto and the lack of clarity on Harris' stance regarding digital asset regulation.
Polymarket, a popular betting platform that operates on the Ethereum scaling network Polygon, has experienced a surge in popularity this year, especially amid the U.S. election cycle. As cryptocurrencies have become a hot topic among politicians, the platform has attracted attention from traders and enthusiasts alike.
Interestingly, while Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has openly expressed support for cryptocurrencies, positioning himself as a favorite among some in the space, a potential win for Harris in November could have negative implications for digital assets in the United States, according to Bernstein's report.
"Our interpretation of current market sentiment is that a Trump win is bullish and a Harris win is bearish (at least in terms of the immediate market reaction)," the report stated. It further explained that the Trump-led Republican side has actively engaged with crypto companies, Bitcoin miners, and the wider community, signaling favorable policies for Bitcoin and crypto innovations. There have even been hints of a potential national Bitcoin reserve.
Former President Trump's initial criticism of cryptocurrencies, labeling Bitcoin as a "scam," has shifted during his current presidential campaign. Trump has expressed explicit support for the crypto space, even proposing the idea of exclusively mining future Bitcoin within the United States. He also made headlines by appearing as a speaker at the recent Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, where he reiterated his promise to remove SEC Chair Gary Gensler, known for his critical stance on cryptocurrencies, if reelected.
On the other hand, Harris has remained relatively silent regarding cryptocurrencies. However, notable pro-crypto figure, billionaire, and serial entrepreneur Mark Cuban disclosed in an interview with Decrypt last month that Harris' advisors had reached out with numerous inquiries about the industry. This suggests a potentially more favorable stance towards cryptocurrencies under a Harris administration compared to the Joe Biden administration.
The uncertain future surrounding digital asset regulation and the contrasting approaches of the presidential candidates have left Bitcoin investors and the cryptocurrency community closely monitoring the U.S. election and its potential implications on the market. As the race between Trump and Harris unfolds, the crypto world awaits the verdict with bated breath, anticipating the direction the industry could take with the next U.S. leader.