Bitcoin Hits Record Highs Amid ETF Expectations and Institutional Interest

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
18/11/2024 23h35

### Bitcoin Surges Amid Speculation and ETF Rumors, Reaching New Heights

Bitcoin has found itself once more in the center of the financial spotlight, driven by factors including discussions from both U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and tech visionary Elon Musk, as well as a swell in bold bitcoin price predictions. The cryptocurrency's value has soared towards a staggering $100,000 per bitcoin, elevating the combined crypto market back to approximately $3 trillion—a level not seen since 2021. There is also mounting speculation surrounding U.S. adoption of bitcoin at the nation-state level.

Adding to the momentum, a shift in stance from a high-ranking Federal Reserve official has sent ripples through the market. Expectations have been set for a significant development in U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sparking intense interest. BlackRock's $42 billion bitcoin fund, which debuted in January, has emerged as one of the fastest-growing ETFs in history. The anticipation now turns towards these spot ETFs receiving approval for options trading, an outcome suggested by a recent advisory notice from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The CFTC's advisory notice elucidates that spot commodity ETF shares would likely be classified as securities, thereby placing them under the jurisdiction of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This development clears a crucial hurdle, enabling the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) to proceed with the listing of these options under SEC oversight. According to Eric Balchunas, an analyst from Bloomberg Intelligence, this CFTC notice marks the "second hurdle" necessary for the advancement of bitcoin ETF options.

Interest in bitcoin options trading is particularly keen among institutional investors and market regulators. Increased liquidity, as expected from the introduction of bitcoin ETF options, could draw significant institutional capital to the market. Eric Balchunas has suggested that the options might be listed imminently, while Jeff Park from Bitwise described the forthcoming options trading as "the most significant market structure change for bitcoin since the ETF launch."

The surge in bitcoin's value was significantly influenced by BlackRock, particularly after Donald Trump's presidential victory. According to Kaiko Research, BlackRock accounted for 85% of the unprecedented $1.3 billion inflows into U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs soon after the election.

In the meantime, Ark Invest's Cathie Wood has maintained her bullish stance on bitcoin, reaffirming her forecast of its price reaching $1.5 million, potentially making bitcoin a $30 trillion asset by 2030. Wood's projections anticipate a base-case target of approximately $650,000 and suggest that regulatory changes following Trump's victory, alongside a growing interest from Wall Street, will catalyze this exponential price increase. Wood emphasized that institutions are increasingly recognizing bitcoin as a distinct and necessary asset class.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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