Stock Market Wavers as Job and Wage Growth Slows, Oil Falls to Five-Month Low

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ICARO Media Group
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06/12/2023 21h21

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The stock market experienced mixed results today as investors digested the news of slowing job and wage growth in November, adding to concerns about the cooling labor market influenced by the Federal Reserve's rate hikes. The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all hovered around Tuesday's closing levels, exhibiting a cautious sentiment among traders.

Private payroll data from ADP revealed a significant slowdown in hiring and wage growth last month. The report indicated that the private sector added only 103,000 jobs in November, a decline from the previous month's figures, and 25,000 fewer jobs than expected. Furthermore, those who remained employed experienced a modest wage increase of 5.6% compared to the previous year, marking the smallest growth since September 2021.

As a result, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dropped approximately 4 basis points to below 4.15%, hitting its lowest level since early September. This decline further reflects the perceived cooling of the labor market, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to reevaluate its approach to interest rate hikes.

In other sectors, oil prices also faced a significant decline, reaching a five-month low. West Texas Intermediate contracts fell by 4% to around $69.50, while Brent crude, the European benchmark, experienced a 3.6% drop to below $75. The decline in oil prices is attributed to concerns over diminishing demand amidst a slowing U.S. and global economy, as well as doubts regarding OPEC's commitment to production curbs despite aggressive cuts announced last month.

Consequently, U.S. drivers have benefited from cheaper oil prices, with gas prices dropping to $3.22 per gallon, the lowest since January. This decrease provides some relief for consumers in terms of transportation costs.

Several companies made headlines today. British American Tobacco (BTI) saw a significant decline of over 8% as it announced a write-down of its U.S. brands by a staggering £25 billion ($31.5 billion). In response, the company intends to shift its focus away from traditional cigarettes and promote the use of alternative tobacco products. This transition is expected to impact revenue and profit growth in the coming years.

On the other hand, Campbell Soup Co. (CPB) witnessed a surge of more than 7% after reporting better-than-expected earnings, despite a 2% decline in sales year-over-year. The company attributed the sales decline to a shift in consumer preferences towards more economical options rather than ready-to-eat and single-serve meals.

Travel stocks experienced positive movement as Delta Air Lines (DAL) shares rose more than 4%, following the company's reiteration of its full-year guidance. This reassured investors who were concerned about a possible reduction in travel spending by cash-strapped consumers. In response, other travel-related stocks, including United Airlines (UAL), Carnival Corp. (CCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), also gained momentum.

Bank stocks performed well in early trading as CEOs of major banks testified before the Senate Banking Committee. The CEOs aimed to assure Congress of the stability of the banking sector after the regional banking crisis earlier this year. Additionally, they pushed back against proposed rules by the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency that would increase capital requirements for large American banks.

Looking ahead, futures contracts point to a slightly positive start for the stock market. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 0.1%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures suggested a 0.3% increase for the tech-heavy index.

Overall, investors continue to monitor indicators of job and wage growth, as well as oil prices, to gauge the broader economic landscape and inform their investment decisions.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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