Record $5.9 Trillion Cash Pile Expected to Bolster Stock Market in 2024, Says Fundstrat

https://icaro.icaromediagroup.com/system/images/photos/15955896/original/open-uri20231224-56-1pq2i8t?1703454752
ICARO Media Group
Politics
24/12/2023 21h51

In a recent note, Fundstrat's technical strategist Mark Newton suggests that the stock market is set to benefit from a staggering record of $5.9 trillion in cash in 2024. This growing pile of cash, primarily held in money market funds, is expected to play a crucial role in ensuring that any future stock market declines are short-lived.

The allure of 5% interest rates has led to a surge in money market fund assets this year, resulting in a total cash sum of $5.88 trillion. This figure marks a significant increase of 24% from the previous year, when money market funds held $4.73 trillion in cash.

According to Newton, this substantial amount of cash serves as a strong backstop for the stock market and gives confidence to market bulls. While sentiment polls have turned more optimistic in recent weeks, the growing cash pile suggests that minor pullbacks in the coming weeks or months should be seen as buying opportunities. Newton further states that funds may begin to deploy cash in the new calendar year, fueling the market rally even further.

Furthermore, the potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year may further incentivize investors to put their money into the stock market. If the Fed follows through with expected rate cuts, the risk-free interest rate on money market funds will decrease, making holding cash less attractive in comparison.

Newton emphasizes that despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 hitting record highs, the growing cash pile indicates that optimism towards stocks is not overblown. This suggests that investor sentiment remains cautious and grounded, despite recent market achievements.

The record $5.9 trillion cash pile highlights the resilience and stability of the stock market in 2024. With ample cash on the sidelines, experts anticipate that any temporary dips will be met with increased buying interest, leading to a potential continuation of the market rally. As investors look forward to the new year, the stock market appears to be in a favorable position, supported by the massive cash reserves available.

In conclusion, the record amount of cash in money market funds is expected to provide a much-needed buffer for the stock market in 2024. As investors continue to seek higher returns in a low-interest-rate environment, this substantial cash pile presents an opportunity for the market to weather any upcoming challenges. With the potential for increased deployment of cash and anticipated interest rate cuts, the stock market's future remains optimistic.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

Related