President Biden Faces Uphill Battle in Key Battleground States Ahead of 2024 Rematch

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
24/11/2023 19h02

President Biden's bid for re-election in 2024 is set to be a challenging one as he gears up for a rematch against former President Trump in six crucial battleground states. Recent polling data is raising concerns for the incumbent, with Biden trailing Trump in some of these key states.

Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia are emerging as particularly tough contests for Biden, as his support wanes among once-reliable constituencies such as Black, Latino, and young voters. Even battleground states like Michigan and Pennsylvania, which were crucial to Biden's victory in 2020, are showing signs of shifting away from him, creating uncertainty about the Midwest's support in the upcoming election.

In Arizona, Biden's senior campaign advisers strategically targeted Latino voters and successfully made the state a part of his winning coalition in 2020. However, a change in sentiment is noticeable as Biden's economic message fails to resonate with key voters, including the state's significant immigrant population. High inflation and soaring housing prices have fueled resentment towards the president, affecting his standing in the state. Moreover, Biden faces competition not only from Trump but also from independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who consistently garners double-digit support in the polls.

According to a RealClearPolitics (RCP) polling average, Trump currently holds a lead of around 5 points over Biden in Arizona, highlighting the challenges the president will face in maintaining his earlier success in the state.

In Nevada, early survey data is not promising for Biden, with him trailing Trump by as much as 11 percent and only as little as 3 percent. Although Biden narrowly won the battleground state in 2020, his underperformance compared to Hillary Clinton's 2016 numbers raised concerns. Currently, a majority of Nevada voters disapprove of Biden's job in office, as per a CNN/SSRS poll from October.

Georgia, another pivotal state for Biden's victory in 2020, has witnessed a shift in sentiment among skeptical voters. Despite helping Democrats gain control of the Senate through historic voter turnout, passing voting rights legislation has proven difficult for Biden due to two moderate Democrats. Furthermore, his likely opponent, former President Trump, continues to maintain a strong standing in the state despite ongoing legal challenges.

The latest polling data from Georgia, as seen in a Times/Siena College survey, reveals Trump leading Biden with 49 percent of support compared to Biden's 43 percent. The RCP polling average indicates a nearly 6-point lead for Trump in the state.

Pennsylvania, Biden's home state and a crucial contributor to his Midwest success in 2020, presents another hurdle for the president's re-election campaign. Recent polls show Biden trailing Trump by a slim margin among registered voters, with Trump leading him by 3 percentage points. The incumbent president's favorability ratings are also a concern for Democrats, with only 39 percent of voters surveyed expressing a positive view of Biden.

Biden's campaign and the Democratic National Committee have launched advertising campaigns highlighting the president's accomplishments, including the bipartisan infrastructure bill, in an effort to influence public opinion and improve his standing in these battleground states.

As the 2024 election approaches, Biden faces a challenging path to secure victory in these key battleground states. The upcoming rematch against Trump, along with shifts in voter sentiment and emerging outside candidates, will undoubtedly shape the outcome of this highly anticipated election.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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