Myanmar's Junta Seeks China's Support for Domestic Stability in Recent Talks

https://icaro.icaromediagroup.com/system/images/photos/15923387/original/open-uri20231207-18-15hnlkf?1701990310
ICARO Media Group
Politics
07/12/2023 23h02

In a call for assistance, Myanmar's ruling junta has urged China to support its quest for stability following clashes with militant groups. However, analysts anticipate that Beijing will exercise cautious pragmatism rather than direct intervention in Myanmar's internal affairs.

The plea for support was made by Myanmar's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Than Swe during a meeting with China's top diplomat, Wang Yi, in Beijing. Emphasizing Myanmar's ongoing domestic challenges, Swe expressed the country's hopes to receive China's continued support to achieve domestic peace and stability, as stated in a Chinese foreign ministry statement.

While Wang made it clear that China would not interfere in Myanmar's internal affairs, he expressed optimism for Myanmar's national reconciliation and urged the country to continue its political transformation process under its constitutional framework.

The recent clashes in Myanmar's northern provinces of Shan State, Kachin State, and the upper Sagaing Region drew the attention of Beijing, as the southwestern province of Yunnan shares a lengthy border with Myanmar's Shan and Kachin states.

Analysts believe that China's stance revolves around supporting regional stability rather than direct intervention in Myanmar's situation. Their primary concern is tackling telecoms scams that have targeted Chinese nationals.

A senior research fellow at the Beijing-based Centre for China and Globalisation, Andy Mok, noted that China's approach leans towards advocating stability while respecting sovereignty. The country is willing to offer strategic support that balances regional security interests.

This marks the first public request by Myanmar's military government for China's assistance in its political situation. Beijing has already expanded cooperation with the junta and armed ethnic groups in Myanmar's north to combat cybercrime.

Given recent setbacks in the northern states due to the rebel offensive, Myanmar's junta aims to strengthen ties with China, India, and Russia. It seeks to isolate ethnic armed organizations from diplomatic backing.

During the meeting in Beijing, Wang highlighted the need to eradicate online gambling and electronic fraud, describing them as a "cancer". He commended the progress made in deterring telecoms scams and mentioned that Myanmar had handed over 31,000 telecoms fraud suspects to China.

China's priority is to prevent conflicts in Myanmar's northern Shan State from spilling over into its borders. Beijing has attempted to mediate ethnic conflicts, with Chinese special envoy Deng Xijun playing a crucial role.

The junta's increasing reliance on China stems from its isolation from the West and the wider region. To sustain its regime and confront armed groups, the military government requires China's mediation skills to broker a truce with the ethnic armed alliance.

While China is unlikely to directly intervene, it will leverage its influence to maintain peace and security in Myanmar. Additionally, China aims to prevent the resurgence of cybercrime activities under the military regime's patronage.

Beijing's approach towards Myanmar reflects cautious pragmatism as it navigates concerns over telecoms fraud and online gambling. During Wang's meeting with his Thai counterpart, he emphasized the importance of combating cybercrime and fostering new developments in China-Thailand relations.

As Myanmar seeks stability amidst internal challenges, its call for China's support underscores the delicate balance between outside assistance and respecting Myanmar's sovereignty. China's response will shape the future direction of the relationship between the two nations.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

Related