Global Cancer Cases Predicted to Surge by 77% by 2050, Says WHO
ICARO Media Group
In a recent report by the World Health Organization's cancer agency, it has been predicted that the number of new cancer cases worldwide will reach a staggering 35 million in 2050. This figure represents a 77 percent increase from the approximately 20 million cases diagnosed in 2022.
The survey conducted by the WHO's International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) cited several key factors contributing to this alarming rise in cancer cases. These factors include tobacco use, alcohol consumption, obesity, and air pollution. The IARC emphasizes the urgent need to address these risk factors as they play a significant role in the predicted surge.
Freddie Bray, the head of cancer surveillance at the IARC, highlighted the gravity of the situation. He stated that the new estimates underscore the current scale of cancer and the growing burden it will pose in the coming years and decades.
According to the IARC's biannual report, an estimated 9.7 million cancer-related deaths occurred in 2022. The report further emphasizes that approximately one in five individuals will develop cancer in their lifetime, with one in nine men and one in twelve women succumbing to the disease.
The IARC points to the aging population, population growth, and changes in exposure to risk factors as underlying causes for the rapidly growing cancer burden. Tobacco, alcohol, and obesity are identified as significant contributors to the increasing incidence of the disease, with air pollution remaining a key environmental risk factor.
While the threat of cancer varies across regions, the most developed countries are expected to experience the greatest increases in case numbers. The IARC projects an additional 4.8 million new cases in 2050 compared to 2022 estimates in these countries. However, in terms of percentages, countries with lower Human Development Index (HDI), which measures societal and economic development, will witness the most substantial proportional increase, with a staggering 142 percent rise. Medium-range HDI countries are predicted to experience a 99 percent increase.
Freddie Bray emphasizes that lower income and lower human development countries face the most significant challenges in dealing with the projected increase in cancer burden. These countries are ill-equipped to handle the growing problem, and the number of patients in cancer hospitals is only expected to rise in the future.
Bray also highlights the top five cancers accounting for around 50 percent of cases, with lung cancer being the most common worldwide, particularly among men. Breast cancer continues to be the most prevalent cancer in women. Additionally, changes in lifestyle are causing different types of cancer to affect populations. For instance, colorectal cancer has now become the third most common cancer and ranks second in terms of deaths. Age, obesity, smoking, and alcohol use are known factors linked to the rise of colorectal cancer.
Considering the gravity of the situation, the IARC emphasizes the need for greater investment in early cancer diagnosis and screening, as well as preventative measures. Moreover, adequate resources should be allocated to palliative care for those suffering from the disease.
With the predicted surge in cancer cases, urgent global action is required to address the risk factors contributing to this epidemic. By investing in prevention, early detection, and comprehensive care, steps can be taken to alleviate the burden of cancer on individuals, families, and healthcare systems worldwide.