Big Tech Earnings, Fed Rate Decision, and Jobs Report Drive US Market Activity
ICARO Media Group
US stocks began the week with a relatively muted start as investors prepared for a packed week filled with updates on Big Tech earnings, the Federal Reserve rate decision, and the release of the crucial US jobs report. The major stock gauges, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and the S&P 500 (GSPC), hovered around the flatline after securing weekly wins. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NDX) saw a slight increase of 0.5%.
This week is particularly significant for investors as five of the renowned "Magnificent Seven" tech companies are set to report earnings. The performance of these companies, including Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG), is expected to shed light on the effectiveness of their AI efforts and recent layoffs.
Additionally, market participants are eagerly awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision on Wednesday. While interest rates are anticipated to remain steady at 5.25%, investors will scrutinize Chair Jerome Powell's comments for any hints regarding potential future cuts, especially in light of the recent scaling back of March bets.
Furthermore, Friday’s US jobs report for December holds weight in assessing whether the Fed has managed a successful "soft landing" for the economy. These factors collectively contribute to the anticipatory atmosphere surrounding the upcoming week.
Concerns about China's economic health were also heightened by the news of the looming failure of property development giant Evergrande. Following a Hong Kong court's order for the company to liquidate, indicating its inability to fulfill its restructuring plan, apprehensions regarding the property crisis in the world's second-largest economy have grown.
Oil prices experienced a decline as worries about the impact on Chinese demand competed with supply risks stemming from escalating tensions in the Middle East. US benchmark WTI futures traded under $78 a barrel, while global benchmark Brent futures exchanged hands near $83 a barrel.
Tech stocks provided a modest boost on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) registering a 0.6% increase. Tesla (TSLA) shares rebounded by as much as 3% after a notable sell-off last week caused by the company's downbeat production outlook for 2024. Similarly, companies such as Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), and Microsoft (MSFT) all witnessed gains of around 1%. However, Apple (AAPL) was the only stock among the "Magnificent Seven" group that experienced a minor drop of approximately 0.5%.
Amidst all the market activity, another top executive, Jim Esposito, is set to depart from Goldman Sachs (GS). Esposito, who was co-head of Goldman's global banking and markets division, concluded a nearly three-decade tenure at the firm. This departure has raised questions about the succession plans for CEO David Solomon, adding to a series of high-profile management and board changes for the Wall Street giant.
In other news, Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) shares fell around 3% after being downgraded by Wells Fargo. The downgrade was based on concerns of a "risky earnings setup" at the start of the year. SoFi shares, on the other hand, rose by as much as 22% after the fintech company achieved profitability for the first time since going public.
Overall, analysts are highlighting the critical importance of Big Tech earnings in sustaining the market rally. While strategists have called for a broader market rally, it is expected that companies like Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta will be the primary drivers of Q4 earnings growth in the S&P 500. Earnings for these companies are projected to grow by a combined 53.7% in the fourth quarter, contrasting with an expected 10.5% decline for the remaining 494 companies in the index.
As global markets await earnings, the Fed's rate decision, and the release of the US jobs report, investors will closely watch how these announcements shape market sentiment in the coming days.