In a highly anticipated showdown, the New York Mets (42-41; 21-16 away) and the Washington Nationals (39-46; 17-21 home) will clash for the final time this season at Nationals Park on July 4, 2024. The Mets have emerged victorious in their previous five encounters, with both the first two games of this series going into extra innings.

The Mets have displayed an impressive offensive performance throughout the series, scoring 11 runs in extra innings alone. With a sixth-ranking in scoring at 4.93 runs per game, their explosive outbursts have come as no surprise. New York boasts impressive rankings in batting average (9th), on-base percentage (6th), and slugging percentage (8th). With a strong stolen base percentage (3rd), home run ranking (4th), and a relatively low strikeout percentage (8th), the Mets have proven to be a formidable force at the plate.

Taking the mound for the Mets is Jose Quintana, who has struggled on the road this season with a 5.63 ERA. However, June marked his best month, with New York winning four out of his five starts. The Mets' bullpen, ranked 10th in FIP, and 11th in WAR, will seek to maintain their strong performances in this rare morning start.

On the other side, the Nationals have come close to defeating the Mets numerous times this season but have fallen short. Their bullpen, ranked 10th in WAR, has struggled in the 10th innings against the Mets. Jake Irvin will be the starting pitcher for the Nationals, presenting a formidable challenge to the Mets. Irvin has maintained a strong 3.03 ERA in his sophomore campaign, with a notable 2.31 ERA in June, leading the Nationals to a 5-1 record in his starts.

Offensively, Washington has been in need of more production, averaging 4.12 runs per game, which ranks 20th in the majors. Although they boast the third-most steals, the Nationals rank 29th in home runs. With rankings of 21st in batting average, 24th in OBP, and 27th in slugging percentage, they will need to elevate their performance to secure a victory.

With an intense rivalry unfolding, analysts predict a close game that could potentially go into extra innings once again. However, given Jake Irvin's impressive track record, the Nationals hope to finally prevail against the Mets and secure a long-awaited victory at home.

In terms of betting picks, experts recommend considering the Washington Nationals as the favorites to win this matchup. Additionally, with both teams' strong pitching performances, taking the under on the total runs scored is advised.

As the rivalry between the Mets and the Nationals intensifies, fans eagerly anticipate a thrilling Independence Day matchup, hoping for an exhilarating showdown at Nationals Park.