Wall Street Celebrates as Dow Jones Closes Above 40,000 for the First Time
ICARO Media Group
Investor optimism continues to soar on Wall Street as stocks reach record highs and the market heads towards its best month of the year. On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed above 40,000 for the first time in history, just 874 trading days after surpassing the 30,000 milestone.
With a weekly gain of 1.2%, the blue-chip index had a solid performance, while both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded their longest winning streaks since February. Market analysts attribute the rally to positive macroeconomic data, buoying investor sentiment.
Goldman Sachs, Microsoft, and UnitedHealth emerged as the top contributors to the Dow's surge from 30,000 to 40,000. The composition of the Dow has evolved as well, with Amazon replacing Walgreens as one of its constituents.
A softer inflation print this week has bolstered expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut before the end of the year. Many investors are now betting on a soft landing and believe the current rally to be a "healthy sign" of a bull market, indicating that there is still upside potential.
Top Wall Street strategists share this positive sentiment, though they caution that the road ahead may have some bumps for investors. BMO Capital Markets' chief investment strategist, Brian Belski, predicts a more significant pullback in the market, warning that stocks are unlikely to remain on a linear growth path. He anticipates a higher base after this correction and has raised his 2024 year-end forecast to a Street high of 5,600 for the S&P 500.
While a pullback may be on the horizon, experts believe the fourth quarter, especially post-election, will bring robust market performance. A growing list of Wall Street strategists have revised their S&P year-end targets, with more than half of them expecting the index to reach or surpass 5,300.
JPMorgan Asset Management's Jack Manley sees the market gaining another 5% to 10% from current levels, as long as the economy continues to perform well and corporate earnings catch up. While big tech companies have been leading the charge, Manley believes it's crucial for the broader index to follow suit in the second half of the year.
Strong earnings have been a driving factor in sustaining the bullish narrative on Wall Street. As of Friday, the S&P 500 is on track for its highest earnings growth rate since Q2 2022, with analysts projecting year-over-year growth rates of 9.2% for the current quarter and 11.1% for fiscal 2024.
Experts, including Newton Investment Management's chief investment officer, John Porter, expect the earnings improvement to extend beyond big tech, leading to a more diversified rally. This resilience in the face of more modest rate cut expectations has impressed many market observers.
Although the extent of future gains remains uncertain, historical analysis suggests that after reaching milestones like 10,000, 20,000, and 30,000, stocks have increased by an average of 20% in the following year.
As the market continues to make new highs, investors are now in search of value stocks. Veteran value investor Jonathan Boyar shares some of his top picks on the Opening Bid podcast, offering insights into potential opportunities within the Dow's record-breaking run.
Overall, Wall Street celebrates the historic milestone of the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing above 40,000, fueled by positive economic data and strong corporate earnings. While market experts anticipate some volatility ahead, the general sentiment remains positive, with expectations of continued growth in the coming months.