UK Inflation Holds Steady at 2% Target, Surpassing Analyst Expectations
ICARO Media Group
According to Official National Statistics data released on Wednesday, UK inflation remained unchanged at the Bank of England's 2% target in June. This headline reading came in above economist expectations, reaching 1.9%. The data also revealed that services and core inflation remained consistent with the previous month's figures.
The June inflation rate of 1.9% aligns with the 2% reading observed in May, indicating stability in the UK economy. As a result, the value of the British pound increased slightly, with it trading at $1.2977 as of 7:21 a.m. London time.
Services inflation, which is closely monitored by the Bank of England due to its significant impact on the domestic economy, was reported at 5.7% in June, mirroring the May figure. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco prices, also registered at 3.5%, in line with May's numbers.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that higher prices in restaurants and hotels had the most significant influence on the upward pressure of inflation. On the other hand, clothing and footwear costs experienced the largest declines.
An interesting observation from the data is that consumers have been increasing their spending on leisure activities, particularly cultural experiences and concerts, as renowned artists such as Taylor Swift, Bruce Springsteen, Pink, and Sting tour the country during the summer months.
Investors had been anticipating a potential interest rate cut in August due to signs of sustained easing in headline inflation. However, market expectations for such a move decreased after the release of the latest inflation data.
Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank, emphasized that the persisting services inflation may provoke caution among BOE policymakers ahead of their upcoming meeting. She stated, "It's really not a done deal for August," expressing concerns shared by many members of the policy committee and economists regarding the services sector's inflation.
Jonathan Haskel, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, recently voiced his opinion that interest rates should remain steady due to ongoing labor market pressures. Additionally, BOE chief economist Huw Pill stated that the timing of a rate cut remained uncertain due to the "uncomfortable strength" in wage growth.
It is essential to note that the inflation figures released on Wednesday are the first since the UK's general election on July 4. However, they do not reflect the change in government. On behalf of the new chief secretary to the Treasury, Darren Jones, it was stated that prices in the country are still considered too high. Jones emphasized the challenging task faced by the government in fixing the economic foundation to rebuild and improve all parts of Britain.