Stocks Slump Ahead of Jobs Report on Oil Price Surge amid Middle East Tensions

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03/10/2024 21h53

### Stocks Slip Ahead of Key Jobs Report as Oil Prices Surge

Thursday saw a dip in the stock market as Wall Street anxiously anticipated the upcoming jobs report and processed a batch of economic data. Meanwhile, the escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the potential for Israeli action against Iran's oil infrastructure, pushed oil prices higher for the third consecutive day.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) edged down by nearly 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) decreased by about 0.4%. The tech-centric Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) also finished just below the flatline. This slight calm followed the turmoil in the market driven by the rising geopolitical tensions that have resulted in sharp increases in oil prices.

A significant factor contributing to the oil price surge was President Biden's comments about a possible Israeli attack on Iran’s oil facilities. Following these remarks, Brent crude (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures saw gains exceeding 5%, reflecting investor anxiety over potential supply disruptions.

In the U.S., all eyes are on the highly anticipated September jobs report set to be released on Friday. Investors are particularly focused on this following a surprise increase in private payrolls and indications that the labor market may be loosening. Thursday's data added to these signs, with weekly jobless claims ticking up slightly from the previous week and planned layoffs decreasing from a five-month high, as reported by Challenger, Gray and Christmas. Despite the dip, the firm’s vice president noted that the labor market appears to be at an "inflection point."

Any new evidence of a weakening labor market might influence the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates. Although the Fed cut rates by 0.5% last month, further signs of economic cooling could prompt another noticeable cut, potentially larger than the previously expected 0.25% reduction in November.

In corporate news, Tesla (TSLA) continued its downward trend, with its stock falling over 3% following disappointing delivery figures. Additionally, Reuters reported that Tesla has paused U.S. online orders for its least expensive Model 3.

Energy stocks (XLE) were among the few to see gains amidst the overall market decline, buoyed by the spike in oil prices due to the mounting Israel-Iran conflict. Investors remain watchful of the Middle East situation as they await the latest insights into the labor market from Friday's jobs report.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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