Scottie Scheffler Favored to Win 2024 U.S. Open, According to Golf Model

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11/06/2024 21h50

In the highly anticipated 2024 U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2, Scottie Scheffler, the top-ranked player in world golf, aims to secure his third major championship. With just five golfers holding multiple major victories since 2017, Scheffler finds himself in excellent company alongside the likes of Brooks Koepka, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas, who each have two major wins under their belt.

Although Koepka has an impressive track record, including a fourth-place finish at Pinehurst in 2014, he enters the U.S. Open as a 20-1 longshot according to the 2024 U.S. Open odds. Surpassing him on the list are seven other golfers, including Scheffler with odds of 11-4, followed by Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau at 10-1. Even Rory McIlroy, who has not won a major in nearly a decade, shares the same 10-1 odds.

As golf enthusiasts prepare to place their bets, one reliable source stands out: the proven computer model developed by DFS pro Mike McClure. McClure's model has been on fire since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020, consistently delivering accurate predictions and nailing tournament outcomes. In particular, the model correctly projected Scheffler's victories at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship.

McClure's model has a track record of success in major tournaments as well. It accurately predicted Jon Rahm's victories at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express, as well as Scheffler's win at the 2022 Masters. In fact, the model has correctly predicted the winner of a whopping 12 majors, including three consecutive Masters and the 2024 PGA Championship.

With the U.S. Open field shaping up, SportsLine decided to simulate the tournament 10,000 times using their predictive model. The results of the simulation yielded some surprising insights, including a strong performance from Justin Thomas, who is listed as a 35-1 longshot. Thomas has shown inconsistency this year, missing the cut in several significant tournaments. However, his recent top-10 finishes, coupled with his impressive rankings in strokes gained categories, make him an intriguing prospect at the U.S. Open.

Meanwhile, all eyes will be on Scottie Scheffler, who enters the tournament riding a wave of success not seen in decades. He became the first golfer to secure five wins in a PGA Tour season before the U.S. Open since Tom Watson in 1980. However, it is worth noting that no golfer has won on tour and then clinched the U.S. Open in back-to-back weeks. Moreover, Scheffler has yet to excel at majors other than the Masters, with only top-25 finishes in half of his U.S. Open starts.

The performance of Scottie Scheffler in the 2024 U.S. Open is expected to dominate the headlines. Golf fans and bettors alike will be closely following his journey as he attempts to translate his incredible success on tour to major tournament victories.

With the U.S. Open quickly approaching, the golf model at SportsLine provides valuable insight into the potential outcomes of the tournament. Additionally, the model identifies two longshot players, each with odds of 20-1 or higher, who could surprise the golfing world.

As the countdown to the U.S. Open begins, golf enthusiasts eagerly await the tournament's outcome, confident that the SportsLine model will continue its impressive streak in predicting major champions.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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