Palo Alto Networks Reports Strong Q3 Results, but Disappointing Billings Forecast Weighs on Stock Performance

ICARO Media Group
News
20/05/2024 21h44

Palo Alto Networks, the cybersecurity company, announced its fiscal third-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. However, a disappointing billings forecast for the fourth quarter tempered investor enthusiasm.

For Q3, Palo Alto Networks reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.32, surpassing the estimated $1.26. The company's revenue also performed well, reaching $2.0 billion, slightly higher than the anticipated $1.97 billion.

While the Q3 results were impressive, the focus shifted to the billings forecast for the fourth quarter. Palo Alto Networks predicted billings of $3.43 billion to $3.848 billion, with the midpoint falling below analysts' expectations of $3.47 billion. This caused concern among investors as billings are considered a crucial indicator of a company's business performance.

Prior to the announcement, West Park Capital had emphasized the significance of billings as a leading indicator. The forecast projected a growth rate of 2% to 4% from the third quarter. Although the specific billings number was not mentioned, the company's revenue for the last quarter grew by 15%, aligning with estimates. However, it was the billings figure that appeared to be responsible for the market reaction.

Further dissecting the revenue figures, product revenue stood at $391 million, slightly beating expectations, but only showing a 0.7% increase over the previous year. On the other hand, subscription and support revenue saw a robust 20% year-on-year growth, exceeding market projections.

Looking ahead to the full-year forecast, Palo Alto Networks estimated billings of $10.13 billion to $10.18 billion, falling within a narrower range compared to the previous projection. However, it fell short of the estimated $10.19 billion. Adjusted earnings per share for the full year were predicted to be $5.56 to $5.58. Revenue for the full year is expected to be in the range of $7.99 billion to $8.01 billion, surpassing the prior guidance of $7.95 billion to $8.00 billion and beating the estimated $7.98 billion.

The market reaction to the news was evident as Palo Alto Networks' stock saw a decline of 8.12% in after-hours trading. This drop may potentially erase the year-to-date gains, as shares were previously up approximately 10%. The stock's performance in recent years has been impressive, with a 326% increase over the last five years, maintaining a steady upward trend.

Overall, Palo Alto Networks delivered strong performance in the third quarter, with earnings and revenue exceeding expectations. However, the disappointing billings forecast for the fourth quarter rattled investors' confidence and resulted in a decline in the company's stock value. The market will be closely monitoring how the company addresses this concern moving forward and whether it can maintain its impressive growth trajectory.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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