Monitoring of Tropical Disturbances in the Atlantic and Caribbean by National Hurricane Center

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18/10/2024 23h25

Among these, Invest 94L, situated east of the Leeward Islands, and Invest 95L, located in the western Caribbean Sea near Central America, are of particular interest. Both systems pose the potential to develop into tropical depressions or storms.

Invest 95L, which is being monitored for its progress, has been producing widespread showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Caribbean. This disturbance is becoming more organized as it drifts north of eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions are reportedly favorable for further development over the next one or two days. The NHC suggests that Invest 95L could evolve into a short-lived tropical depression or storm before making landfall in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless of its development, the disturbance is expected to bring heavy rainfall to parts of Central America and southern Mexico over the weekend.

Meanwhile, Bryan Norcross, a hurricane specialist with Fox Weather, has noted that adverse atmospheric conditions over Florida and the northern Gulf of Mexico are likely to prevent any immediate threats to the U.S. Invest 94L, located east of the Leeward Islands, is characterized by disorganized precipitation and thunderstorms. Although the disturbance shows a well-defined, broad circulation, dry air has impeded the formation of sustained thunderstorms necessary for the system to be classified as a tropical depression.

Invest 94L is forecasted to move west or west-northwestward, potentially affecting the northeastern Caribbean islands in the coming days. According to Norcross, the system is expected to approach areas near Puerto Rico, Haiti, and eastern Cuba by Friday. It remains uncertain whether Invest 94L will maintain its structure by then, but it is likely to bring tropical moisture to mountainous regions, raising the risk of flooding and mudslides.

For those considering travel to Puerto Rico or the U.S. Virgin Islands, it is advisable to keep an eye on weather updates. For residents of Florida, still recovering from the recent hurricanes Helene and Milton, Invest 94L doesn't pose a threat at this time. Nevertheless, individuals in the northeastern Caribbean islands should remain vigilant in case the disturbance intensifies unexpectedly. The NHC currently rates the likelihood of further development of Invest 94L as low and diminishing over the next week.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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