Middle East Peace Talks at Risk as Israel and Hamas Resist Diplomatic Deal
ICARO Media Group
In the quest for a diplomatic resolution to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, efforts to broker a cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hamas have hit a roadblock. Despite extensive diplomatic negotiations involving the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, both sides have been unwilling to sign on to a proposed deal.
The underlying issue lies in the vital interests of both parties involved. Israel is determined to end the war by either crushing Hamas or expelling its leaders from Gaza. On the other hand, Hamas, keen on maintaining its power, insists on the war coming to a halt only if Israel withdraws its troops from Gaza and frees all hostages.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been resolute in expressing his country's stance, which is also shared by Benny Gantz, his chief political opponent and a member of Israel's war cabinet. Gantz recently emphasized to senior US officials that ending the war without clearing out the southern Gaza city of Rafah would be ineffective, comparing it to extinguishing only 80 percent of a fire.
To break the impasse, external powers may need to intervene more vigorously than before. Historically, outside powers such as the United States, Russia, and the United Nations have played pivotal roles in mediating and imposing cease-fires and settlements in Arab-Israeli conflicts. However, with the current situation, it appears that increased intervention may be required.
During his visit to Washington against the wishes of Netanyahu, Gantz received warnings and expressed concerns from US officials, including Vice President Kamala Harris, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan. Gantz has the opportunity to relay these serious dangers to his fellow cabinet members, urging them to take action to allow more humanitarian aid and reduce civilian casualties, which would necessitate a pause in the fighting.
Contrary to some media reports, Vice President Harris's call for an "immediate cease-fire" during a public speech does not mark a departure from President Joe Biden's view or Israel's stated position. Her remarks specifically refer to an already proposed six-week cease-fire, put forward by Israel, that requires Hamas's agreement. President Biden has long emphasized the need for a cease-fire, having previously exerted pressure resulting in a weeklong halt in the fighting last November, leading to the release of 100 hostages.
As the negotiations continue, there remains a lack of pressure on Hamas from Arab countries, particularly Egypt and Saudi Arabia. Although these Sunni leaders have prioritized "normalizing" relations with Israel and have shown little concern for the Palestinian cause, the recent Hamas attack on Israel has made them reluctant to openly disagree, given the public opinion in their respective nations.
Qatar's role in the conflict is complex, with the ruling emirs engaging in deals with Western oil companies, hosting a significant US military base, and providing military and economic aid to Hamas. The current proposed deal on the table, accepted by Israel but not by Hamas, involves a six-week cease-fire, the exchange of hostages and prisoners, and increased humanitarian aid to the people of Gaza.
President Biden hopes that the cease-fire can eventually be extended, leading to the release of more hostages and prisoners, increased aid, and progress in broader Israel-Palestinian peace talks. However, the current prospects appear dim, with talks reported to be on the verge of collapse. Hamas's demand for a total cease-fire and a withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza as a precondition to releasing more hostages is deemed unacceptable by Israel, as it could result in the return of Hamas fighters along with civilian residents.
To achieve a lasting peace, several key factors must be addressed. Qatar needs to crack down on Hamas or offer refuge to its military leaders in exchange for their departure from Gaza. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and other regional Sunni powers should assist in rebuilding Gaza and nurturing more moderate political leaders. Israel, at the very least, must express support for the creation of a Palestinian state and take incremental steps in that direction. Finally, the United States will likely need to serve as a guarantor for the peace process, not just for Israel, but for all parties involved.
As the situation continues to escalate, the urgency for a resolution grows stronger. The current negotiations represent a crucial juncture that could determine whether the cycle of violence intensifies or a viable peace agreement is reached. The international community, led by President Biden, must redouble its efforts to bring both Israel and Hamas to the negotiating table and ensure the well-being of the innocent civilians caught in the crossfire.