Kamala Harris Maintains Narrow Lead Over Trump in Crucial Swing States, New Poll Reveals
ICARO Media Group
### Kamala Harris Holds Narrow Lead Over Trump in Key Swing States, Poll Finds
Vice President Kamala Harris has a slight edge over former President Donald Trump in several pivotal swing states, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. Conducted from September 19 to 25, the poll reveals Harris leading by margins ranging from two to seven points in all but one of the seven critical states.
In Georgia, Harris and Trump are tied at 49 percent each. The vice president's largest advantage is in Nevada, where she leads by seven points, holding 52 percent to Trump's 45 percent. In Pennsylvania, Harris pulls ahead with a five-point lead, at 51 percent compared to Trump's 46 percent. These states were notably won by President Joe Biden in the 2020 election, while Trump had previously secured Pennsylvania in 2016.
Harris also shows a three-point lead in Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin, with her smallest edge being in North Carolina, where she stands just two points ahead. Biden had successfully flipped Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin to the Democratic column in 2020, while Trump maintained his hold on North Carolina in both the 2016 and 2020 elections.
The poll's margin of error, ranging from plus or minus three to four percentage points, highlights the tightness of the race in these battleground states. Harris' lead is within this margin in all but Nevada and Pennsylvania, making the outcome still highly uncertain.
Economic issues appear to favor Harris slightly. Despite Trump’s four-point lead on economic management—down from six points last month—voters are nearly split on who they trust more to handle the cost of everyday goods. Harris has a significant 11-point lead when it comes to supporting the middle class, reflecting her economic agenda focused on affordable housing, down payment assistance for first-time homebuyers, and higher taxes on the wealthy. Conversely, Trump's campaign has prioritized immigration and crime over economic issues.
Overall, Harris leads by three percentage points among likely voters, which signifies a two-point improvement from last month. With third-party candidates considered, her advantage extends to four points. However, experts like Eli Yokley from Morning Consult caution that Trump's ability to attract non-traditional voters could erode Harris' lead.
The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll, which surveyed 5,692 likely voters, shows more favorable results for Harris compared to other recent polls. For instance, a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted between September 17 and 21 indicated Trump leading Harris by two to five points in Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. The latter states are essential targets for both campaigns as they vie for victory in the upcoming election.
As the race tightens, both Harris and Trump's campaigns are intensifying their efforts in these key swing states, recognizing their potential to determine the election's outcome.