College Football Playoff Predictions: Projections for Top 25 Teams in Week 11 Rankings

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05/11/2024 19h05

**Predictions for Week 11 College Football Playoff Rankings: Top 25 Projections**

As the anticipation builds for the first College Football Playoff (CFP) Rankings of the 2024 season, predictions abound regarding where the top 25 teams will stand. Scheduled for release on Tuesday, November 5, the initial rankings will set the tone for the remainder of the season. Here, we present a prediction of how the top 25 teams could be ranked based on a variety of factors including head-to-head results, schedule strength, and games against ranked opponents.

Leading the pack, Oregon (9-0) is poised to claim the No. 1 spot, boasting an undefeated record punctuated by a significant win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes (7-1) are predicted to come in at No. 2, their sole loss being to Oregon. Ohio State’s impressive victory over Penn State, which is likely to be in the top ten, bolsters their position.

Georgia (7-1) is expected to rank third. Despite a loss to Alabama—a team not ranked as high as Oregon—they secured wins against ranked teams like Clemson and Texas. BYU (8-0), an undefeated team with key victories over Kansas State and SMU, could surprise many by landing in the top four, potentially challenging the traditional powerhouses despite questions about their schedule strength.

Miami (FL) (9-0), despite an undefeated record, may find itself just outside the top four due to its limited slate of notable wins, with Louisville being its only victory over a team expected to be ranked. Tennessee (7-1) is projected to be sixth, with a notable victory over Alabama offsetting their single loss to Arkansas.

Texas (7-1) could find itself at seventh, hindered by a multi-score loss and wins over teams such as Michigan, Oklahoma, and Vanderbilt that have not aged well. Penn State (7-1) follows closely, their best win being over Illinois with three losses, and coming off a recent defeat to Ohio State.

Indiana (9-0) might rank ninth. Despite their perfect record, their weak schedule hampers their standing; they have yet to defeat a team in consideration for these rankings. Rounding out the top ten, Alabama (6-2) benefits from victories over Georgia and Missouri, despite losses to Vanderbilt and Tennessee.

Further down, SMU (8-1) has only lost to BYU and carries wins over Louisville and Pitt, likely securing a place just outside the top ten. Notre Dame (7-1), dealing with a glaring loss at home to Northern Illinois, is projected at No. 12. Teams like Texas A&M (7-2) and LSU (6-2) will be closely watched, especially given head-to-head implications and other key victories and losses.

Boise State (7-1), with a narrow three-point loss to top-ranked Oregon and a dominant win over Washington State, is poised to break into the top 15. Teams such as Ole Miss (7-2), Iowa State (7-1), and Pittsburgh (7-1) follow, with each having notable high and low points within their schedules.

Notably, unbeaten Army (8-0) is likely to be included in the top 20, though they have yet to compete against a ranked team. Louisville (6-3), Clemson (6-2), South Carolina (5-3), Missouri (6-2), and Colorado (6-2) round out the rest of the projected rankings, each team bringing a mix of significant wins and challenging losses to the table.

As speculations continue, attention turns towards how the CFP committee will weigh factors such as strength of schedule and head-to-head matchups. Teams like Boise State and Miami (FL) will be particularly interesting cases to watch, revealing how the new committee might differ from past preferences.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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