Coinbase Reports Stellar Q1 Earnings as Bitcoin Rebounds and Cryptocurrency Market Gains Momentum

ICARO Media Group
News
03/05/2024 18h01

Coinbase, the leading cryptocurrency exchange, posted impressive first-quarter earnings as bitcoin's rally and renewed interest in digital currencies fueled its growth. The company reported earnings of $4.40 per share, a significant improvement from the loss of 34 cents per share in the same quarter last year. Total revenue soared to $1.64 billion, marking a remarkable 111% year-over-year increase and a 72% increase from the previous quarter.

The surge in earnings exceeded analysts' expectations, who had predicted earnings of $1.15 per share on a revenue increase of 76% to $1.36 billion, according to a FactSet poll. Transaction revenue played a pivotal role, skyrocketing 187% year over year to $1.08 billion, effectively doubling from the previous quarter. Notably, consumer transaction revenue witnessed substantial growth, reaching $935.2 million, up from $468.9 million in Q4 2023 and $392.2 million in Q1 of the previous year. Institutional transaction revenue also experienced a significant surge, climbing to $85.4 million, a remarkable 133% increase from the previous quarter and a massive leap from $22.3 million reported last year.

Coinbase's subscription and services revenue saw a notable jump of 41% to $511 million, surpassing the company's prior estimates of $410 million to $480 million, as well as analyst estimates of $458 million. The revenue spike was primarily driven by the company's blockchain rewards, which more than doubled to $150.9 million. Additionally, custodial fee revenue surged 90% to $32.3 million, mainly due to higher crypto prices and Coinbase's role as the custodian for a majority of the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs that launched earlier this year.

The overall trading volume for the quarter reached an impressive $312 billion, up 104% from the previous quarter. Furthermore, Coinbase generated over $300 million in total transaction revenue in April alone, indicating continued strong performance in the second quarter. The company expects its subscription and services revenue for Q2 to range between $525 million and $600 million, while FactSet predicts Q2 earnings of 94 cents per share, accompanied by an 82% revenue growth to $1.29 billion.

Analysts expressed positive sentiments regarding Coinbase's strong performance in the first quarter, with Canaccord highlighting the company's ability to gain market share in both volatile and bullish crypto market conditions. Canaccord raised its price target on Coinbase stock from $240 to $280 and maintained a buy rating. On the other hand, H.C. Wainwright acknowledged potential short-term downward pressure resulting from recent crypto pullbacks and regulatory uncertainties. However, the firm remained bullish in the medium term and raised its price target to $315, keeping a buy rating intact.

Mizuho and Goldman Sachs expressed a slightly more cautious outlook. Goldman Sachs emphasized that Coinbase's stock performance would be heavily influenced by future crypto price volatility without a clear long-term strategy. As a result, the firm lowered its price target to $255 from $295 and maintained a neutral rating. Mizuho, acknowledging the strong Q1 earnings as expected, raised concerns about Coinbase's Q2 revenue run-rate being 16% lower than the previous quarter. Mizuho maintained an underweight rating on Coinbase stock and set a price target of $145.

Despite a slight dip in Coinbase's stock price on Friday morning, following a 5% pre-market drop, the shares showed resilience with an 8.9% surge during Thursday's trade leading up to the earnings announcement. Although the stock has retreated approximately 22% from its March peak, it has rallied by nearly 32% in 2024.

In parallel, bitcoin's price rebounded above $61,500 on Friday morning, marking a gain of more than 5% in the past 24 hours. This resurgence comes after a recent correction that saw bitcoin fall nearly 17% from its record high of $73,798 in March. Nonetheless, bitcoin has still registered an impressive gain of over 46% since the beginning of this year.

As bitcoin regained its footing, other crypto-related stocks also saw positive momentum. Marathon Digital, Riot Platforms, Hut 8, and CleanSpark experienced notable gains at the end of the week, indicating a growing market sentiment in favor of the broader cryptocurrency industry. Additionally, U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs, including iShares Bitcoin Trust, ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF, and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, witnessed a rise of approximately 3.6% on Friday, following a surge of 4.3% on Thursday.

Despite ongoing regulatory challenges, including the SEC's lawsuits against Coinbase over its staking services, the company's strong Q1 performance underscores its ability to navigate volatile market conditions and capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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