Bitcoin's Impressive Rally Defies Expectations and Signals Ongoing Momentum

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09/11/2024 21h05

### Bitcoin Defies Expectations Amid Strong Rally

Bitcoin's recent performance has been remarkable, defying expectations and challenging its past highs. Despite the ETH/BTC ratio dropping to its lowest since April 2021, Bitcoin continued its upward trajectory by surpassing previous highs on November 6, 7, and 8, reaching $76,400, $76,900, and $77,200 respectively. This impressive rally mirrors similar trends seen in gold and U.S. equities, suggesting a robust and ongoing momentum in the market.

One notable factor supporting this continued rally is the current level of interest in Bitcoin as measured by Google search trends. Although there has been a slight uptick in the past week, search interest is significantly lower compared to peaks in November 2021 and March 2024. This indicates that the market has not yet reached a state of euphoria, implying that there could be room for further growth.

Profit-taking, an important metric monitored by CoinDesk, indicates that while some investors are cashing in, the scale is modest compared to historical figures. For instance, on November 6, following the U.S. election, $3.5 billion in profit was realized, with another $3.2 billion over the next two days. In contrast, during Bitcoin's bull run in 2021, profit-taking surged to $10 billion when new records were set, and even during the 2017 peak, figures reached around $4.6 billion. The current levels of profit realization are therefore relatively low, despite higher Bitcoin prices.

For much of the past seven months, Bitcoin's price has oscillated between $50,000 and $70,000. Even with the recent breakout, many investors remain cautious, waiting for even higher prices. What's also worth noting is that from an inflation-adjusted perspective, Bitcoin's previous record of $69,000 in November 2021 would equate to about $78,000 today, just above its current market valuation. This suggests investors are potentially seeking higher returns in real terms.

In conclusion, Bitcoin's latest rally highlights both its resilience and the cautious optimism of the market. With interest levels low and profit-taking not yet at prior peaks, there could still be significant potential for further appreciation. CoinDesk, with its rigorous editorial standards and market analysis, continues to provide insights into these dynamic changes.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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