Bitcoin Miners Experience Prolonged Capitulation as Hash Ribbons Signal Weakness

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ICARO Media Group
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22/06/2024 17h26

Bitcoin miners are currently going through a prolonged period of capitulation, as indicated by the hash ribbons, according to analyst Willy Woo. The hash ribbons, which compare short-term and long-term moving averages of the hashrate, show that miners are disconnecting from the network due to potential unprofitability in mining BTC. This situation is a result of the Halving event that occurred in April, which cut block rewards in half, affecting miners' revenues significantly.

The hash ribbons chart shared by Woo reveals that the miner capitulation has been ongoing for 61 days, a surprisingly long duration compared to previous cycles. In 2016, miners experienced a recovery in 24 days, while the 2020 cycle saw a reverse cross in just 8 days. The delayed recovery this time around suggests that miner capitulation post-halving is taking an unprecedented amount of time.

The connection between hash ribbons and Bitcoin's price recovery is noteworthy. Woo highlights that Bitcoin typically shows signs of recovery when weak miners exit the market and the hash rate starts to rebound. The prolonged capitulation phase indicates that the market is still in the midst of this process. The hash ribbons serve as a crucial metric to gauge the sustained trend of miners' behavior.

At the moment, the price of Bitcoin is trading at around $63,900, experiencing a decline of over 4% in the past week. This downward trend in price aligns with the prolonged miner capitulation, suggesting a correlation between the two.

The volatile nature of Bitcoin mining poses challenges for miners, especially during significant events like the Halving. The reduction in block rewards, which forms a substantial part of their income, can have a significant impact on their finances. As a result, the hashrate has been on a downtrend recently, reflecting the challenging conditions that miners are currently facing.

It remains to be seen when the hash ribbons will cross back again, signaling a recovery in miner activity and potentially leading to a price recovery for Bitcoin. Analysts and market observers will keep a close eye on this indicator to understand the future trajectory of the cryptocurrency.

As Bitcoin continues to experience fluctuations, the cryptocurrency market remains an area of active interest for many analysts and investors. On-chain analysis, such as the examination of the hash rate through indicators like the hash ribbons, can provide valuable insights into the market dynamics and potential price movements.

Disclaimer: The image used in the article is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the actual hash ribbons or Bitcoin price fluctuation.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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