Bitcoin Could Drop to $50,000 as Macro Uncertainty Weighs on Market, Says Research Analyst

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18/04/2024 21h11

Title: Bitcoin Could Drop to $50,000 as Macro Uncertainty Weighs on Market, Says Research Analyst

In a recent interview on CoinDesk's Markets Daily podcast, Markus Thielen, co-founder of 10x Research, warned of a potential drop in the price of Bitcoin to as low as $50,000 over the next few weeks. Thielen pointed to the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainty as a significant factor casting a bearish shadow over the crypto market.

Thielen questioned the potential impact of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, scheduled for April 20th. Contrary to popular belief that the halving would propel Bitcoin's price to new heights, he argued that previous post-halving cycles were predominantly driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions rather than the halving itself. Noting the massive monetary and fiscal stimulus measures surrounding the Covid-19 shutdowns during the most recent halving in May 2020, Thielen expressed skepticism about attributing significant importance to the halving as a standalone catalyst for price movements.

The absence of traditional drivers that fueled the previous surge in Bitcoin's price was a key concern for Thielen. He emphasized that current market conditions lacked the same catalysts that propelled the cryptocurrency from $40,000 to $70,000. Thielen attributed this shift to the dwindling interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs, with minimal new inflows observed in recent weeks as investors moved on from the initial excitement following the January launch.

Thielen viewed the current slowdown in ETF flows and the recent sell-off in crypto assets as part of a larger narrative, pointing to the macro environment as the primary driver of price movements. He stressed the importance of resolving macro headwinds for Bitcoin's future trajectory. With inflation remaining well above the Federal Reserve's targeted 2% range and uncertainty looming over future interest rate cuts, Thielen expected a consolidation period for Bitcoin in the coming weeks, potentially pushing its price down to around $50,000 before a potential recovery towards year-end.

Despite Thielen's cautious outlook, it's important to note that Bitcoin remains a highly volatile and unpredictable asset. The cryptocurrency market has often defied expert predictions, leaving room for unexpected price movements and market sentiments.

In summary, Markus Thielen, renowned research analyst and co-founder of 10x Research, anticipates a potential drop in Bitcoin's price to $50,000 amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Thielen cautioned against attributing significance to the upcoming halving event, highlighting that previous bull runs were fueled by favorable macro conditions rather than the halving itself. With the absence of traditional price drivers and a chilling effect on ETF interest, Thielen expects a consolidation period for Bitcoin before a potential recovery later in the year. As always, caution should be exercised in the volatile realm of cryptocurrency investment.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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