Betting Insights: Mock's Week 8 Picks for College Football Underdogs and Well-Rested Teams

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14/10/2024 20h52

### College Football Betting Picks: Underdogs and Well-Rested Teams in Focus for Week 8

College football betting enthusiasts have experienced an intriguing season, with fluctuating results from Austin Mock's projection model. For the fourth consecutive week, the model maintained a nearly neutral outcome against the betting market, alternating between small profits and losses. This persistent minor variance resulted in a modest 4-4 record for last week, translating to a slight loss of 0.35 units. So far, the season tally sits at 26-29-2, with a negative return on investment of 6.4%.

Despite some setbacks last week, such as South Florida's game relocation to Orlando and UCF's unexpected quarterback change, Mock remains optimistic about his picks for Week 8. His card kicks off with five fresh bets, including another underdog in the much-anticipated game of the week. Additional bets on game totals will be made closer to kickoff as weather conditions become clearer. Here’s a look at the five bets Mock has placed his confidence in:

#### Georgia +3.5 (-110) at Texas

Although Texas is favored at home, Mock feels that the over-three-point spread is excessive. While Georgia may have offensive issues, their defense remains formidable. Texas, however, hasn't faced a high-caliber offense like Georgia's this season. Saturday's game is expected to showcase Georgia’s prowess.

#### Arizona State +3 (-105) at Cincinnati

Mock perceives Arizona State as having a significant advantage in their ground game. Ranked 14th in rushing success, compared to Cincinnati’s defensive ranking of 103rd in the same metric, the Sun Devils could potentially exploit this weakness. Mock’s projections suggest a closer game, leaning more toward a pick 'em.

#### Rutgers -6.5 (-110) vs. UCLA

Facing a rigorous travel schedule, UCLA heads into this game having traversed significant distances for their matches. Their early game at noon ET adds to their situational disadvantages. Mock believes Rutgers has a strong chance to win, predicting a value at a touchdown or less.

#### Michigan -1.5 (-105) at Illinois

Michigan, the defending national champions, find themselves in a favorable "buy-low" spot. Newly starting quarterback Jack Tuttle’s return from injury offers a much-needed boost to their struggling offense. While Michigan may not yet be in top form, Tuttle’s presence improves their prospects.

#### West Virginia +3 (-110) vs. Kansas State

Last week’s loss hasn’t deterred Mock from betting on West Virginia again. Despite the previous double-digit loss against Iowa State, West Virginia had a fairly even game. Facing Kansas State, which is in back-to-back road games, West Virginia might leverage this to secure an upset.

Each of these bets was selected based on a combination of statistical projections and situational analysis. For those looking to enhance their betting strategies, Mock’s picks could offer valuable insights. Fans and bettors alike are hopeful these predictions will turn favorable as the weekend unfolds.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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