Bears vs. Vikings Player Props: Alexander Mattison and Justin Fields Analysis
ICARO Media Group
In the highly anticipated Monday Night Football game between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings, there are two player props that have caught the attention of bettors and analysts alike. Let's delve into the details and analyze the potential outcomes for Alexander Mattison and Justin Fields.
The first prop revolves around Alexander Mattison, the running back for the Vikings. Known for being a grinder rather than an explosive player, Mattison has an impressive 8.1% explosive run rate this season, with six rushes of 14 or more yards. However, facing the Bears' formidable run defense, led by linebacker T.J. Edwards, Mattison might face difficulties in surpassing his expected performance.
Experts suggest that the optimal range for Mattison's longest rush lies between 8 and 17 yards, with an estimated 80% chance of falling within this range. Additionally, there is a 60% chance that he will stay under 13.5 yards for his longest rush. These numbers indicate that Mattison might struggle to break free for a significant gain against the Bears' defense.
On the other side of the field, the focus shifts to Bears quarterback Justin Fields. Fields has only managed to surpass his projected performance in two out of six full games he has played this season. Against the Vikings, who heavily rely on Cover 3 and zone coverages while boasting the highest blitz rate in the NFL, Fields is expected to scramble frequently, potentially affecting his pass attempts and completions.
In their previous encounter in Week 6, Fields had more rush attempts (8) than pass attempts (10) before exiting the game in the third quarter due to injury. Analysts predict that Fields' scramble-heavy playing style and the possibility of a more balanced game script for the Bears might limit his pass attempts and completions against the Vikings.
Moreover, the Vikings' tendency to lean towards a run-heavy approach with Josh Dobbs at quarterback has resulted in a low time of possession, thus reducing the play volume for opposing quarterbacks. As a result, it is anticipated that the Bears' play volume will be lower in this matchup.
Based on current analysis, Fields' median is expected to hover around 16.5 pass attempts, with a 60% probability of staying under 17.5. These numbers highlight the challenges Fields might face in accumulating passing yards against the Vikings' defensive strategies and the potential limitations brought about by game flow.
As the Bears and Vikings prepare to clash on Monday Night Football, the performance of Alexander Mattison and Justin Fields will undoubtedly be closely monitored. With the odds stacked against them in their respective props, both players face intriguing challenges that will significantly impact the outcome of the game.
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Note: The analysis is based solely on the provided information regarding player props for the Bears vs. Vikings game.